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To: randita
Sabato is going off of RCP averages and polls. What he is not considering, is the fact that historically, about a third or less of the population actually votes for President and fewer yet, vote during the midterms.

The potential for an Iraq like election where 85% of the adult voting age public goes to the polls is always a possibility.

If the American people are angry enough at how they are being lied to by MaObama, the Democrats and the Media, particularly, they see the real truth about this economy, it will be Democrat road kill. This thing has the potential to set a new historical record.

31 posted on 10/28/2010 6:27:01 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP ( Give me Liberty, or give me an M-24A2!)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0781453.html

The percentage of voting-age citizens who actually cast ballots has been in the low to mid 50 percent range in presidential years, and in the high 30s in elections like this one. You are, I believe, quite correct in noting that there is a lot of room on the upside.

That means that about 1/6 or 16% of voters think enough of the process to drag their butts to the polls to vote for President, but they can't be bothered two years later. Assuming that about half of that 16% are republicans (or independents who are now leaning republican) who are extremely motivated, we could get an off-year number that could be as high as 45% (or even more.) That would make all of the current predictions south of optimistic Dick Morris seem way too conservative and not Conservative enough.

44 posted on 10/28/2010 6:54:55 AM PDT by TruthShallSetYouFree (If not for the double standard, liberals would have no standards at all.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

“If the American people are angry enough at how they are being lied to by MaObama, the Democrats and the Media, particularly, they see the real truth about this economy, it will be Democrat road kill”

If they were, they’d all be FREEPERS. So we still have work to do.


58 posted on 10/28/2010 7:28:37 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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