Posted on 10/26/2010 9:58:48 AM PDT by tgdunbar
With a week to go to the Congressional Elections, the uncertainty is building for Democrats, even in Southwest Virginia's 9th District.
The latest News7 SurveyUSA poll released Tuesday morning shows a dead heat between long-time incumbent Rick Boucher and Republican Morgan Griffith.
Just a few weeks ago, Boucher appeared to be cruising to another term with double-digit leads.
Now the race is too close to call, as independents have shifted their votes to Griffith, and Boucher's lead among women has evaporated.
(Excerpt) Read more at wdbj7.com ...
Morgan Griffith (R)
46%
Rick Boucher (D)
4%
Jeremiah Heaton (I)
3%
Undecided
Griffith’s actually a little crumb ahead. Good.
Who’s the Independent? Looks like Boucher is falling and the momentum is with Morgan Griffith. Hope that’s true!
Also, if you look at the crosstabs at link, you see that it is the younger voters going for Griffith. Many older voters in the 9th probably assume Boucher had a “lock” on the election and with it now virtually tied, I suspect older voters may be moving toward Griffith also in these last few days before Nov 2nd.
“Boucher, Griffith and Independent candidate Jeremiah Heaton will meet Tuesday night. You can watch it on Your Hometown Station beginning at 7 p.m. We’ll also be live streaming the debate on WDBJ7.com.”
Filtering: 800 registered voters with home telephones in Virginia’s 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/21/10 through 10/25/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 608 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to vote on or before election day 11/02/10.
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RV poll...a LV model would probably trend more to Griffith.
Not completely RV...75% filtered for LV or already voted.
Boucher usually wins this seat BIG
the “independent” is one of those fake tea-party Democrat shills: http://swvateapartyab.org/?cat=46
The endorsement of the Bluefield DT should help Griffith with older voters. They endorsed Democrats for the West Virginia races but thought Griffith would be the stronger vote for the coal industry.
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