Also, if you look at the crosstabs at link, you see that it is the younger voters going for Griffith. Many older voters in the 9th probably assume Boucher had a “lock” on the election and with it now virtually tied, I suspect older voters may be moving toward Griffith also in these last few days before Nov 2nd.
Filtering: 800 registered voters with home telephones in Virginia’s 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/21/10 through 10/25/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 608 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to vote on or before election day 11/02/10.
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RV poll...a LV model would probably trend more to Griffith.
The endorsement of the Bluefield DT should help Griffith with older voters. They endorsed Democrats for the West Virginia races but thought Griffith would be the stronger vote for the coal industry.