Posted on 10/20/2010 12:59:43 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
WASHINGTON – All signs point to huge Republican victories in two weeks, with the GOP now leading Democrats on virtually every measure in an Associated Press-GfK poll of people likely to vote in the first major elections of Barack Obama's presidency.
In the final survey before Election Day, likely voters say the GOP would do a better job than Democrats on handling the economy, creating jobs and running the government.
Most also think the country's headed in the wrong direction. More than half disapprove of Obama's job performance. And even more don't like the Democratic-controlled Congress.
Neither party is popular. But likely voters view the GOP a bit more positively than they do the Democrats. Slightly more say they will vote for the Republican congressional candidate in their district over the Democrat. And most think the GOP will win control of Congress from the Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Wonder if DU is starting to melt down yet?
845 LV out of about 1500 Adults still seems a little high. Gallup's turnout model is the key. If we have 40% turnout the GOP will win about 100 seats. If we have 55% turnout we may win 60 or so. Gallup uses 6 or 7 questions to determine a person's likelihood to vote and not 1 or 2 that most polls do.
It looks like all the reputable polls are comin6 in somewhere between 6-9 pts in GOP favor on generic ballot. I hope it is more like Gallup thinks it is than everyone else.
Go to the link. Every one of the numbers cited are understated. A 7 point difference is hardly a slight difference. A 52/44 approve for GOP versus approval for Democrats is not slight either. They must have jump out a window after having to write this story.
Remember it was 48 48 in 1994 and we won over 50.
Sorry Gallup had it at 46 46 in 1994.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/124010/generic-ballot-provides-clues-2010-vote.aspx
I imagine Dem strategy meetings:
“Let’s lower voter expectations so we can spin this outcome as ‘better than expected’.”
“Good idea. Then if we only lose 80 or 90 seats, we can call that a victory.”
I hope the Dems get the outcome they deserve (I know that’s harsh, but it’s also fair.)
It must have just KILLED the AP/Yahoo to post his article.
There were more “Reagan Democrats” in 1994 - people who voted Republican while remaining registered with the Donks.
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