Posted on 10/19/2010 1:20:00 PM PDT by Justaham
After a bad couple of weeks, Republicans worried that Joe Manchin might have overtaken John Raese in the race to replace the late Robert Byrd in the US Senate. A new Fox News poll shows that Manchin made up ground on Raese, but the Republican still holds a narrow lead over the Democrat in West Virginia. Barack Obama’s agenda worries voters more than a casting call for a political ad, apparently:
Republican John Raese still leads Democrat Joe Manchin in West Virginia’s rough and rowdy Senate race despite a pair of controversial television ads, according to the latest Fox News state poll. Raese’s lead over Manchin shrank two points from Oct. 2, but his 48 percent to 45 percent lead over the popular second-term governor is still cause for concern among Democrats.
Raese’s lead comes after a bruising two weeks in which an ad agency hired by the National Republican Senatorial Committee got busted looking for “hicky” actors to play parts in an anti-Manchin ad and Manchin produced an ad in which he shot a hole through a copy of President Obama’s global warming legislation with a deer rifle.
The poll of likely voters shows why Manchin might be moved to take more shots at the Obama agenda. Obama’s job approval in the state dropped two points to 27 percent. Sixty two percent of voters said that Obama’s polices had hurt the state’s economy – up two points from Oct. 2 — and 51 percent thought the president’s agenda had hurt their personal finances.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
With respect...that’s a totally bogus, contrived issue..which, admittedly is being used effectively by the Dems, witht the help of the MSM..has anyone asked if Manchin actually fired the shot that hit the Cap and Trade sign?
Limbaugh’s big mouth will cost Raese the election.
In PA this time around, there is not much incentive for Democrats in Philly to come out and vote. Onorato doesn’t hold sway over Philly (and unions) like Rendell did. Sestak is not someone to get them excited.
As long as the strong conservative regions in PA turn out for Corbett and Toomey and there’s good reason to believe they will, I don’t think Philly can sway the election this year.
I go with Corbett for Governor and Toomey for Senator by 8-12 pts. in each case. Rasmussen has it about right, IMO.
Both IL and CO are static within the margin of error.
Buck has a consistent lead in CO and Kirk leads in most polls in IL — but only by a point or two.
There has been some perceived tightening this week and WA seems to be slipping into the D column, but things are generally looking good for the Republican brand this cycle.
If I had to handicap the D held seats..
Safe R: ND, AR, IN
Strong lean R: PA
Lean R: WI
Slight lean R: CO, NV, WV
Tossup: IL, WA (take both, we control Senate)
Slight lean D: CA
Lean D: CT
Strong lean D: DE, NY (Special, Gillibrand)
Safe D: NY (6-year Schumer), MD, VT, OR, HI
All of the R seats are safe, but for KY, MO and NH, which are in Strong lean R territory.
We have the energy and we are all on edge to vote, even if it were tied - our enthusiasm will push a lot of races over the edge.
What has Rush said that you think will cost Raese votes?
Go Raese!
??? How so?
Yeah...it’s nerve wracking.
Not gonna do much good there.
As ususal, the democrats are pulling out all the stops in their attacks and ads, and the republicans are rolling over and taking it without a response.
Like McCain, they think that being remembered as “nice” will be far more important than winning the freakin’ election.
No doubt there will be a wide enthusiasm gap in all red states, but I wonder how widespread it will be in blue states. Does anyone have a feel for how much of an enthusiasm gap there might be in places like California, Washington state, Illinois, Connecticut, Delaware and other blue states when we expect close races for Congress?
Thanks for the info. Honestly, I think the House is a done deal at this point, though we may not gain 70 like many on here think. I still think 50 is likely.
fight!
I think the target list is up around 106 or so in play according to Politico. At the end of the day, there could be a gain of somewhere between 50-70 seats. Somewhere around 1994 levels.
As Drudge’s headline screams: Pelosi’s House is about to be foreclosed on.
Don’t worry about Pennsylvania period. Angle already is sitting on a fortune so W VA is the one race where your money will have the most impact.
Raese has run many times and never won anything, has he. I don’t think WV people, who have boundless faith in their government, will want him, but I would surely vote for him.
Hi, Roc,
The Charleston Daily Mail endorsed Raese today:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2610467/posts
What can you tell me about this paper? What is their political bent? Are they influential in WV politics? Is there a rival paper in Charleston?
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