It might be possible to compare apples to apples with a different poll to see or not see any surge.
People rarely talk about likely voter models and the inability to get tea party races at all right in the primary.
The tea party candidate in Maine - LePage - went from 10% in the last poll less than a week before to 37% on election day.
There isn’t “plenty” of time, but there is enough time. And Christine actually has the money advantage this time. She was outspent 10-1 apparently in the primary. She has twice as much money in the bank right now as Coons, and to now, she has spent only a little bit more than Coons.
All of these things point to Christine closing the gap in the polls and then winning.
“All of these things point to Christine closing the gap in the polls and then winning.”
Based on those dynamics you describe, none of us are only going by the polls. Sure we’d love for all our Tea Party favorites to have insurmountable leads. We’ve already seen too many upsets to give up; and there will be many more on 11/2.
I’m now busy working on GOTV for Rossi/Watkins (WA 1 to oust RAT Inslee who’s saber rattling about running for governor in 2012). Fighting to the very end.
Cheers!