Posted on 10/13/2010 12:10:34 PM PDT by Galactic Overlord-In-Chief
U.S. Rep. Rush Holt (D-12th Dist.) is in for a close re-election battle, according to a Monmouth University poll released today.
Holt, who has held the seat for 12 years, leads Republican challenger Scott Sipprelle 51 percent to 46 percent in the survey of 630 likely voters.
This is the toughest political climate Holt has faced in a decade. Although he upset a Republican incumbent to win the seat in 1998 and fended off a tough challenge in 2000, the district was changed to include more Democrats. Since 2002, he has won re-election by comfortable margins.
“This year … he has to contend with the national anti-Democrat, anti-incumbent wave,” said poll director Patrick Murray.
(Excerpt) Read more at nj.com ...
Since the Republican is not winning, I say this poll sucks.
The point is that it’s very close. Holt was not supposed to be in trouble. An incumbent that’s only 6 points up is hardly safe.
In NJ, a Dem is safe until he is 6 points down.
‘The Monmouth University Polling Institute surveyed 630 likely voters from Oct. 9 to Oct. 12. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.’
“In NJ, a Dem is safe until he is 6 points down.”
Perhaps, but I don’t think we can trust most polling outfits to get a good sample that will imitate what we’ve been seeing in NJ with Christie’s election. I’m sure they’re using their old models of ‘likely voters’ and breakdown of indies, Rs and Ds.
Corzine was 4 points down.... and lost by 4 points.
I guess we’ll see.
I just expect fraud to be so over the top this time. What have they got to lose by cheating?
I hope I'm just a worring little mouse here...and paranoid...but this election is freaking me out with all the races so close...
Besides, I have never heard of Monmouth University or how accurate they predict outcomes.
Never mind it says likely voters....which mean this seat is fairly safe unless momentum shows a move in voters over the last several months toward Republicans.
Points or feet?
Well, feet is a much happier thought, IMO.
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