Posted on 09/28/2010 8:55:19 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The odds-on favorite to win the GOP presidential nod in 2012 is none other than Sarah Palin, according to a statistical formula developed by Villanova University Prof. Lara Brown. The professor's figuring is bad news for presumed hopefuls like Rep. Mike Pence, Sen. Jim DeMint, ex-Gov. Mitt Romney, former Speaker Newt Gingrich, Gov. Haley Barbour, and former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton. Many simply joined the game too late, says Brown, author of the new book Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants, which studies every election since the founding. Others, like DeMint, are still brewing but won't be ready until 2016. As for Newt? "I don't think the GOP can forgive him," she says.
The book devises an "opportunism variable" based on the candidate's résumé to explain who wins the presidency and why. Palin has an advantage because she has been elected both mayor and governor. She also was a major party vice presidential nominee, giving her an enviable breadth of political experience. According to Brown, candidates who take risks and run for a variety of offices do well. It's even better if they lose a presidential race or two. "It takes about a run and a half to get there," Brown says. Pols "may think they can get it done in six months or a year, but [winning] will actually take them running, losing, and planting seeds," she says.
Point me to one post of yours on this thread that is on the actual topic, ie, the article. If you can't do that, don't expect anybody to treat you seriously, you are just wasting everyone's time by trolling.
I was agreeing with you at 51, with reference to your answer to: “Yet in an op-ed published in The Arizona Republic on 26 Mar. 2010, Palin herself admitted that she had “respected McCain” for years before 2008 and expressed “deep admiration” for his repeated “willingness” to stab conservatives in their backs.”
I was trying to express that Rab’s attack was rather primitive and ineffective.
Oh, Thanks.
I beg your pardon ma'am:
Is Alan Keyes going to run again?
Hardly believable that you can write that given your posts on this thread.
Read the article yet? Your thoughts?
OK, so was Sarah lying about McCain being a "real conservative", or did she really believe that he was?
And I gave you a perfectly reasoned answer to your question. One that most adults would understand as indicating that it's YOU who need to apply your own observational and analytical faculties to divine.
You may as well be asking why Obama is what he is, or why so many Americans voted for him. I could explain it all to you, but it would take far longer than I have the patience for in a single post on an internet forum.
If you want to participate in this discussion, then you should have the requisite analytical acuity and background knowledge to sort out the basics of what's being discussed.
It's really that simple. I'm sorry that it escapes you.
Read #187.
I see you are still incapable of answering a simple question.
However you get points for your continued evasion.
Man up.
After you. All you have to do is answer the original question.
“In spite of my nickname, I’m a heterosexual male”
Mmm....I ain't buying that. It's a she. Definitely a she.
She made a political decision and a sense of obligation decision to help the man who brought her to the national scene. She lied, I forgive her, I understand, but wish she wouldn't have done it. It was a decision which would have been held against her by some which ever way she chose.
Here's a little secret, ALL POLITICANS LIE and all people lie at some time. I think she lies less than any other on the political scene.
That's life Pollyanna, grow up!
And you're still trying to hijack the thread with your own trifling off topic rants.
Sarah Palin told the world with one particular endorsement at the 11th hour she was running and that was the Terry Branstad endorsement for governor of Iowa who is definitely NOT a mama grizzly, is not considered a social conservative but more an establishment candidate, had never asked for Palin’s endorsement and actually confessed on You Tube that he had never met her or communicated with her. You could tell he was caught completely off guard by it.
Think about it. Sarah Palin’s endorsement of Branstad had nothing to do with 2010 but everything to do with 2012. Endorsing Branstad makes her at least acceptable to the party establishment in Iowa. In other words they are not going to sabotage her efforts to resonate among the GOP caucus goers of Iowa, and really that is all that Palin wants from Branstad, that he tell the party big wigs to lay off attacking Palin. Palin will do the rest.
And finally if Palin doesn’t run what is she going to do with her Facebook and her Twitter. Do you think that people are going to pay attention to what she writes any more or do you think they might pay more attention to those folks running for POTUS? Sarah has got all her ducks in a row to make a run. To forgo the opportunity to run in 2012 is not conceivable imho. She has too much going for her in terms of political leverage because of the success with her many endorsements. Do you think she is just going to throw that away and abandon her mama grizzlies and the clout she now has with the Tea party movement? Not on your life.
Er, is that post directed at me?
Anybody who is still up in the wee hours of the morning.
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