is that possible given his black base that will never ever desert? Blacks were estimated to be 12.9% of the population in 2009.
Not likely, if you add in the Mexicans, government workers, union members, mooslims, Jews and most Methodists.
-30 would mean 65% disapprove, 35% approve. Since blacks are 13% of the population, yes it’s possible for 100% of blacks to maintain their support for zero and for him to nevertheless hit -30. -30 would indicate that about 2/3 of the population disapproves. That would probably be insurmountable in terms of re-election, particularly when you consider how high he was riding 18 months ago. There are one helluva lot of unhappy, very disappointed voters out there for him to be in the shape he’s in only a year and a half later.
I think some middle-class blacks who have lost their jobs and/or are about to lose their health care secretly don’t support zero but won’t say so because they refuse to admit their bro is an epic failure.