[Political Junkie Too]

I know. I followed that one closely on Stefan Sharkansky's soundpolitics.com. I made a mistake in my initial post when I said Senate instead of governor, but corrected myself a few posts later.

Still, even though you pointed out that the race was within the MOE, it went from +2% to -5%. A +2% lead in a race with a 4% MOE is a 71.6% probability of winning. A -5% loss is a 7.16% probability of winning. Let's hope this poll was an outlier.

-PJ

[SeattleBruce]

“Still, even though you pointed out that the race was within the MOE, it went from +2% to -5%. A +2% lead in a race with a 4% MOE is a 71.6% probability of winning. A -5% loss is a 7.16% probability of winning. Let’s hope this poll was an outlier.”

I agree with you - this is not good news, especially as it was a Ras poll - even given that he included leaners. I’ve been seeing more Dino ads addressing Murray’s record - but they’re really too polite for my liking. He is talking $1.5T annual debts and spending money we don’t have, et al. That’s good - but he needs to address Obamacare and other measures that the Democrats like Patty Murray are rubber stamping ‘against the will of the American people’ and he needs to raise his voice from sounding like he’s announcing a golf match...

I hope he wins! But that’s my take on his ads so far...