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To: WyvernAK
Yes, I just did and I feel I must point out that any poll that puts Gingrich at 15% and second in the pack must have some thing wrong with it.

No. It's also up to you to interpret what the results mean. It's been common wisdom that any poll this far in advance of an election (2+ years) is little more than a name recognition contest.

What's wrong with it, is that you are attempting to apply any special meaning to it. Most people know Newt Gingrich and memories of 1995-1996 have started to fade.

Think of Mr. Newt as the Republican lite version of Teddy Kennedy. After his swimming expedition, Kennedy was never electable as President. Still, the name held magic for people and in pre-primary seasons, he always polled very high. In 1980, against a failed Presidency, and with high preseason poll numbers in hand, he threw his hat into the ring and failed.

Mr. Newt has more name recognition than others on the list. Nothing more.

19 posted on 09/16/2010 5:23:10 PM PDT by altair (Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent - Salvor Hardin)
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To: altair
I agree with what you are saying, it's just that before I allow myself to believe a poll putting Sarah Palin as the leader of the pack, as much as I like it, I want to see more polls from across the conservative board say something like the same before I will give it any special credence. If this poll is true, that Sarah Palin is truly the front runner, great, its the best thing I have heard this summer. I just want more then on lone poll. Give it a few days, or better a month for things to settle down.
20 posted on 09/16/2010 5:31:58 PM PDT by WyvernAK (Knowledge is Power, ie Obama is in trouble)
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To: altair

In rereading my earlier posts I noticed I may have been a little unclear with my Don’t Trust Polls remark. I don’t trust single stand alone polls. Before I allow myself to put any stock in any kind of ground swell shown in a certain poll, I want to see a basket of them over a period of time. And I do see your point on Mr. Newt, it just irks me when he keeps showing up in these polls, its a bad memory that just wont go away. The man has zero likelihood of being the pick just like Kennedy.


21 posted on 09/16/2010 5:40:14 PM PDT by WyvernAK (Knowledge is Power, ie Obama is in trouble)
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