It may tighten, but she won’t win.
The is something called Hotelling’s Law. Essentially, it says that if one party goes too far to one side, the other party captures the middle.
Tea Party has captured some independents and liberals, but I will bet anyone right now that Hotelling’s Law will apply and she will lose.
I’m rooting for her, but it isn’t going to happen. That was Rove’s and Perrino’s point.
The problem with that analysis is that all over the country, simply being a Democrat is being “too far to one side” — the election is a referendum on the Democrats, and they’re not going to win it.
Frankly, if Coons ever drops below 50%, he’s toast, and he’s already straddling that line, even with O’Donnell at likely her worst position between now and election day, after taking repeated beatings from the GOP establishment.
I’m hoping to tell you to eat your words in a month and a half.
Since when did Coons become a brilliant statesman? Ideas and passion trumps empty suits, and the ideas are all on our side right now.
Question.
Hasn’t Coons admitted in past to being a Marxist or at least have the reputation of “the bearded Marxist” in his own state?
When Castle was the assumed candidate didn’t Coons get handed the nomination as the sacrificial lamb? He is far to the left of Biden who dropped out.
So what does Hotelling’s law say about two “extreme” candidates?
If nothing else I would say we have the perfect lab test of conservative versus leftist. There are no moderates in this election that can gray the lines (unless Castle still runs).
I would say that this is exactly the battle of ideas that we’ve been begging for a fight on. If DE chooses the Marxist, so be it, but lets not continue to lie to ourselves that Castle would have fought for Conservatives.
Having control of the Senate by name is worthless if you don’t have control of it in Principle.
whitedog57: “The is something called Hotelling’s Law. Essentially, it says that if one party goes too far to one side, the other party captures the middle.”
Your point seems intelligent, but you apparently don’t know that her opponent, Coons, is an admitted Marxist. No, seriously. He’s a Marxist. So, using your argument, I’d say O’Donnell is a shoe in as the less extreme candidate, that is unless you think belief in small government and Judeo-Christian morality is now considered more extreme than Marxism.
Try looking at the polling data instead of mindlessly clinging to dogma. Hoteling is working FOR her. She is up 8 with Indy voters. Instead of chanting dogmas look at the FACTS.
Sure doesn't look like it. Nothing like giving up just as the race has begun. But thanks for your support!
So we went to far with O’Donnell, but a self described Marxist is perfectly mainstream?
Did you miss the part where independents break in favour of Christine? That should tell you where the line lies.
She’ll win.