It's like the poll is saying two opposing things. It makes no sense.
Republicans aren’t expected to pick up many seats in the Northeast or the Left Coast - perhaps one or two in NY, one in Mass, none in CT, maybe one in NJ and maybe one each in CA, Wash, and Oregon. The real battlegrounds are: Ohio (maybe 4), Pennsylvania (3-4), North Carolina (3), Virginia (2-3) Colorado (as many as 3), Arizona (3) and to a lesser degree, Illinois (2). These alone give us one-half of what is needed for a House takeover.