Since it is money that often throws a race one way or another, you are prejudging the results and affecting them - not placing bets on sure things vs. losses. Quite transparent.
NO, I am using polling data that has been collected by a number of legitimate pollsters.
With that said, The DE race will crystallize in a week or two. Who knows, it may tighten. If it does, the money will be there. Right now, however, O'Donnell has a double-digit deficit to overcome.