Posted on 09/14/2010 3:39:36 AM PDT by iowamark
Republican Bill Brady earns his highest level of support yet against Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn in Illinois’ gubernatorial contest, moving this race from a Toss-Up to Solid GOP in the Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state, with leaners included, finds Brady picking up 50% of the vote, while Quinn earns 37% support. Green Party candidate Rich Whitney, included for the first time in a Rasmussen Reports survey of this race, earns just four percent (4%) of the vote. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
Late last month, when leaners were included in the totals, Brady, a state senator, held a 49% to 41% advantage over Quinn.
Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
If leaners are not included in the latest survey, Brady has 45% support to Quinn’s 30% and Whitney’s nine percent (9%). In the previous survey, without leaners, Brady led Quinn 46% to 37%.
Sixty-three percent (63%) of Brady voters say they are already certain of how they will vote in November, as are 57% of Quinn supporters and 42% of those who are backing Whitney.
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The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on September 12, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Republican Mark Kirk and Democrat Alexi Giannoulias remain locked in a tight race for the U.S. Senate in Illinois.
In the governor's contest, Brady earns support from 93% of Republicans, while just 66% of Democrats favor Quinn. Whitney captures four percent (4%) of Democrats and eight percent (8%) of voters not affiliated with either party. Brady leads Quinn by better than two-to-one among unaffiliateds.
Brady is viewed favorably by 56% of Illinois voters and unfavorably by 35%.
For Quinn, favorables are 43% and unfavorables are 53%.
Twenty-five percent (25%) have a favorable opinion of Whitney, an attorney and frequent candidate, while 32% regard him unfavorably. But 44% don't know enough about the Green Party candidate to venture any opinion of him.
Fifty-one percent (51%) of all voters in the state say they have voted for an independent candidate in past elections, while 41% have not. Still, 43% say they are less likely to vote for an independent in this election. Twenty-seven percent (27%) say they are more likely to pull the trigger for an independent on Election Day, and another 25% say the likelihood is about the same as in past elections.
Just 35% approve of the job being done by Quinn, who took over as governor last year after Rod Blogojevich’s impeachment. Sixty-three percent (63%) disapprove of Quinn’s job performance.
Additional data from this survey will be released at rasmussenreports.com/Illinois. Full demographic data is available to Platinum Members only.
Good to see a Green Party candidate in there pulling off dems and I’m glad there are no so-called “conservative” 3rd parties in this race.
It is great to see the pro-gun Bill Brady doing so well in Illinois.
Republicans are poised to win governorships in major states including IL, MI, and PA. This is big news.
These numbers are huge... a sign of more good things to come!
IL, like CA, is a step-at-a-time process for conservatives.
Mark Kirk is no bargain but if 0bama’s home state (?) elects a GOP governor and senator it will be a major turnaround. Kind of like Mondale’s senate seat, plus the other seat and the governorship in MN, turning Republican in 1978.
Unfortunately Repubs might lose the governor’s races in CA and FL and that would be a big loss but so far Whitman and Scott are at least even.
Leni
A Governor seat is a liberal different then a Senate seat. Liberals seem more willing to allow conservative policies to positively impact THEM while relunctant to allow those same policies to benefit nationally. However, it’s still a conservative running in a liberal state and he’s performing better then Kirk. LOL
I have to wonder what the establishment is thinking there...
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