Posted on 09/13/2010 6:14:42 PM PDT by speciallybland
Just finished the general election numbers in Delaware and New Hampshire. Not going to release them until Wednesday when we have nominees but in one case the conventional wisdom about who's more electable was confirmed and in the other it was not:
-In Delaware Chris Coons polls 26 points better against Christine O'Donnell than Mike Castle. Castle's net favorability is 25 points higher than O'Donnell's. That electability gap is even wider than what we saw a month ago when Castle did 20 points better against Coons than O'Donnell.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...
Evidently, you are one of those sorts who believes everybody who goes to church is into snake handling.
You really don't know us at all, do you?
And if you think that a GOP House would vote to impeach Obama, you're the one with delusions.
>>>They are the Neville Chamberlain of America, enabling the tyrant to continue on, nice going fellas.<<<
Castle did it all by himself!
Pulling an 0bama - ‘Their fault’ won’t fly here...
I would suggest that Castle comes closer to fitting the Chamberlain equivalent.
Castle is President of the Soros started Main Street Project - his reasoning for voting for Cap and Trade - Soros started and continued funded CAP (Center for American Progress) Think John Podesta - Van Jones, et.al.. Take a gander at his press release about June 2009...
When confronted with it, he said ‘who else should I look to’ I suggested Heritage Foundation, Pew and a couple of others - his response was ‘you can’t believe any of THEM - they are Conservative...
Telling you anything yet?
An overlooked vote was HR 2749... this little ditty will get you in the gut - litterally - you will have government control of production, processing and storage for all food. Once you are good and hungry, he’s got ya...
He has an almost macabre obsession with abortion and human embryo experimentation - opposes parent notification for children being transported across state lines for abortion - favors wholesale abortion as population control - worldwide.
And I have just scratched the surface...
Nope - Castle’s shining moments came when he was approving designs for state quarters and naming post offices. Since then he turned downhill - The issue becomes who will the Government be - Rule by the elite or by We the People. Simple as that - and let the chips fall where they may. Selling your soul for a seat won’t get you anywhere you would want to go...
Campaign skills have nothing to do with cocktail parties or attending Yale. They include defining the right message, getting that message out clearly at every appearance and interview, and avoiding distractions and controversies.
O’Donnell is average at best (she can get defensive and catty) and that’s not good enough if you’re a Republican in Delaware.
As long as people don't have any illusions about Christine O'Donnell herself (very much a flawed candidate) and her chances (virtually nonexistent) of actually winning the general election.
It's not often that you'll vote for a vastly superior candidate and end up regretting it later, whereas the opposite is quite likely.
What was the Bush Doctrine MaxTwain (snicker)?
>>>no idea who Adam Smith is<<<
Well, as a septuagenarian, I am intimately familiar with ‘Wealth of Nations’ - and you may be assured that this election is based on self-interest. Freedom on our part and power on theirs.
With 25 years experience as COO of a non-profit Free Enterprise educational foundation, I have met, discussed, written for and learned from quite a few notables. From Dr. Ray Miller to Claire Giannini Hoffman.
Now, the big tent analogy problem is that they didn’t extend the tent - they tried to move it - more to the left. This forced large numbers to break affiliation as the party had moved too far away from them. From Independents to Libertarians, Constitutionalists and Conservatives were all forced out the back of the tent. Then the party wonders why they don’t support them anymore as they hobnob with the ‘one-worlders’ and those who seek only power without morals.
Well, I don’t know about that
PPP is a Dem polling firm.
the PPP poll is the poll that Christine is doing well in - up by 3. Palin has more of an interest in Christine doing well than Romney does.
So, what exactly about the poll are the Romney people pushing? The CastlevCoons and ChristinevCoons results aren’t out, but they’re hinting that those aren’t good results.
Doesn’t matter really. Assuming Christine wins, she’ll be able to appeal to nonideologicals.
Good analysis.
Big tent conservatism does not include liberalism.
The poll numbers released last night showed O'Donnell with a net favorability of around 4, while Castle's was -4. Now he is saying that Castle's net favorability is far higher than hers, presumably based on the same poll. I agree, I am not sure I have much confidence in this poll.
Have always been ambivalent about this outfit anyway.
Take heart, the number is screwed towards Coons right now, because nobody has shine a light on him and his stand/record yet.
Once in the GE, people get to know him more, or just re-remind themselves with what Coons did to the New Castle county, together with the Dem label, it is not a sure win for the Dems in Nov.
Well hi there, Mike Castle, welcome to Free Republic!
Yeah, O’Donnell is a whack job in a lot of ways -so she could fit right in down there. As far as what Delaware voters will tolerate, don’t forget we sent Biden back again and again. That’s a sad testimony in itself about the expectations of voters in this state.
The PPP poll is what showed Christine ahead.
We don’t care about those electability numbers.
We’re confident a good conservative can win in Delaware.
Christine is a good conservative.
Doesn’t mean she will win. I think she will, but I would be shocked with a blowout in November.
Wouldn’t be shocked if Christine won by 10 tomorrow.
The message, that Castle is too liberal, is getting out.
Also, there’s the “tea party” factor. The tea party is 100%
behind Christine. What might be a problem tomorrow, but will be a shocking benefit to Christine in November, will be new voters, probably mostly in Sussex and Kent.
If you’re a conservative in Delaware, and most of Southern Delaware is rural, and conservatives are more likely in rural than urban areas, how motivated are you really to be active in politics. The game is rigged statewide. People look at “the Swap” and things like that, and say “why bother”. But just because there is never a conservative running in DE, doesn’t mean that there aren’t conservatives out there, looking for a reason to get involved. Christine is that reason. So, in November, there are all these new voters that polls typically don’t get, with the likely voter screens that they use.
In Maine, Paul LePage was the tea party candidate for Governor. Less than a week before the election, a 7 way primary, Paul was at 10% in the polls. In 4th place.
A week later, the election, he wins. 37%. No pundits at all had 37%. I was watching this race close, and I was very surprised. I’m a supporter, contributed, and I thought we could win, but with high 20s. Certain areas had huge margins, huge turnout, areas where LePage wasn’t even from. And that’s tea party factor. I personally don’t know what they’re doing exactly, but the result can be huge numbers in the primary. If they’re getting people registered, I don’t know. But the tea party can definitely deliver serious big results. And it looks like the tea party is big in Delaware.
Here’s the thing. We don’t know if they polled everyone when they were polling the Republicans.
They released primary results yesterday.
What the data likely shows is that christine has high favorability with Conservatives and lower favorability with everyone else. Castle might have higher favorability with Dems than with Republicans.
So, when they ask everybody, Castle’s high positives with Democrats or Independent balance out his negatives with Conservatives.
Excellent, there are a couple others that should go.
O’Donnell leads 47-44: Yaay....
O’Donnell loses to Coons: the poll is faked.
Even though they both came from a same polling company, and the later was released only a day later.
That is what you pro-Castle guys have been trying to sell, but we aren't buying it.
Castle would be worse than Coons, he is untrustworthy.
And has spend 45 years at the public trough.
Now, he is suppose to get rewarded for it with a Senate seat!
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