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The ten Senate seats most likely to change hands in 2010
SFGate: Politics Blog ^ | 9/12/10 | Richard Dunham

Posted on 09/13/2010 1:04:48 PM PDT by SmithL

President Obama has seen Democratic prospects worsen as 2010 progresses. "People are frustrated and angry," he conceded at a Friday press conference.

Nowhere is that growing sense of frustration more evident than in the battle for the Senate. A few months ago, the best-case Republican scenario envisioned a gain of eight seats, two short of the number needed to retake a majority. Now, however, 13 Democratic seats are in serious jeopardy, and at least three of them seem out of reach for the party in power.

. . .

Delaware

Vice President Joe Biden's old Senate seat is in serious jeopardy of going Republican. If moderate Republican Mike Castle survives a conservative primary challenge on Sept. 14, he'll be a heavy favorite over Democrat Chris Coons. Castle, a former two-term governor and nine-term congressman, may be the only Republican capable of winning in this heavily Democratic state. But when state Attorney General Beau Biden, the vice president's son, decided not to run, the seat became Castle's to lose.

(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: ussenate
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Now, even SFGate is campaigning for the RINOs.
1 posted on 09/13/2010 1:04:53 PM PDT by SmithL
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To: SmithL
The list didn't even include Nevada.
2 posted on 09/13/2010 1:10:46 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (Gun control was originally to protect Klansmen from their victims. The basic reason hasn't changed.)
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To: SmithL

NY, OR and CT will stay DEM.

Most ALL the Rest. 12+ will fall to the GOP.

We will for SURE get our 10 and Control.

Likely Dem
NY: Gillibrand (D)
OR: Wyden (D)

Leans Dem
CT: Open (D)
WV: Open (D)

Toss Up
CA: Boxer (D)
CO: Bennet (D)
IL: Open (D)
NV: Reid (D)
WA: Murray (D)
WI: Feingold (D)

Leans GOP
DE: Open (D)
FL: Open (R)
KY: Open (R)
MO: Open (R)
NH: Open (R)
NC: Burr (R)
OH: Open (R)
PA: Open (D)

Likely GOP
AK: Open (R)
IN: Open (D)
IA: Grassley (R)
LA: Vitter (R)


3 posted on 09/13/2010 1:12:43 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: RachelFaith

Check my tagline


4 posted on 09/13/2010 1:14:18 PM PDT by wordsofearnest (Brad Ellsworth is giving Indiana a twofer.)
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To: SmithL

Note that the headline says “The ten Senate seats most likely to change hands in 2010” = yet none of the examples are of Republican seats in danger of being lost to a Democrat.

And, when the MSM asks: “What do you call an incumbent who is trailing in one public poll, 65 percent to 27 percent? A lame duck? Or a dead duck?”

In the era of ACORN and black panther voter intimidation, the answer would be is “A sure thing”.


5 posted on 09/13/2010 1:15:08 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: SmithL

this is a fluff piece to help liberal castle base on the meme that only castle can beat coons.

will castle man up and back ODonnell when he loses?


6 posted on 09/13/2010 1:17:51 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: RachelFaith

i like your list but i have a few caveats:
CA may stay with Boxer (unfortunately)
i dont think DE will be ours unless Castle is the nominee (again unfortunately but in certain states only a RINO can get elected)
NH may be tough depending on who gets the nomination
NV may be lost to us due to ANgle not being the best candidate
time will tell but i think we may be a bit short of the 10 needed though i hope we do grab 12 that would be sweet :)


7 posted on 09/13/2010 1:19:30 PM PDT by DM1
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To: wordsofearnest

My tagline has been the same for more than a YEAR now.

And The US Senate will be 52-47-1 GOP.


8 posted on 09/13/2010 1:21:06 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: DM1

Seems like in all these case, save CA, you think we are running too far to the right for those races.

If so, I would just say this: In any other year, at any other time, you, and the conventional wisdom would agree.

This is going to be WAY WAY outside the lines.

The TSUNAMI which sweeps across the land will bring with it the largest transfer of power since All the Southern Delegation walked out to form their own nation 150 years ago.


9 posted on 09/13/2010 1:23:57 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: RachelFaith

You don’t have Arkansas on your list. That’s definitely flipping from D to R.


10 posted on 09/13/2010 1:27:22 PM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: SmithL

If people are angry and frustrated, they should channel that into getting educated.

Read the US Constitution. It’s only a few thousands words.

Read as much of the works of the founders as you can. Read the philosophers that inspired them.

Learn about Christianity. Over 90% of the founders were Protestants.

Learn about the frauds that the federal government has been perpetrating or allowing: Socialist inSecurity, Medicare, Medicaid, the 16th amendment, the Federal Reserve act and our fraudulent monetary system, etc.

What we don’t need are a bunch of excited angry sheep buying the same old crap, but this time with an R next to it.


11 posted on 09/13/2010 1:27:40 PM PDT by MichiganConservative (A government big enough to do unto the people you don't like will get to doing unto you soon enough.)
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To: DM1

“i like your list but i have a few caveats:
CA may stay with Boxer (unfortunately)
i dont think DE will be ours unless Castle is the nominee (again unfortunately but in certain states only a RINO can get elected)
NH may be tough depending on who gets the nomination
NV may be lost to us due to ANgle not being the best candidate”

I disagree with all of your points. Sound likes standard establishment GOP hand-wringing.

Angle is a superb nominee. Campbell is heads and shoulders above Castle and NH is going R by a wide margin - whether it’s Ayotte or Lamontagne.


12 posted on 09/13/2010 1:27:45 PM PDT by wilco200 (11/4/08 - The Day America Jumped the Shark)
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To: RachelFaith

ARkansas is an almost sure turn-over. Boozman (R) is ahead of incumbent Lincoln (D) by 65 to 27.


13 posted on 09/13/2010 1:28:15 PM PDT by TomGuy
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To: SmithL

Even better, some RINO’s are getting dumped. I agree that this year more than ever in the past, a solid conservative can beat what would normally be an invincible Dem.

The country is still going in the crapper, but the time required to climb out may be shortened if this trend holds.


14 posted on 09/13/2010 1:28:19 PM PDT by tickmeister (tickmeister)
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To: SmithL
Isn't it interesting how the elites are NOW paying attention to the People?

When the Democrats were shoving Healthcare down our throats, they weren't concerned about how we felt about it.

Nov.2 is coming!

15 posted on 09/13/2010 1:28:47 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: woweeitsme; TomGuy

Ooops.

Yes! Add Arkansas. Musta had some cut N paste issues. For sure.

Still Calling it 52-48 or BETTER !!


16 posted on 09/13/2010 1:30:27 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: RachelFaith

I like it. As long as it gets to 51, I’ll be happy!!


17 posted on 09/13/2010 1:32:22 PM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: RachelFaith

ND goes Republican. Hoeven leads Potter 65-25%


18 posted on 09/13/2010 1:32:31 PM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: fortheDeclaration
Isn't it interesting how the elites are NOW paying attention to the People?

Yeah. Did you see how FAST Snitch McConnell flipped over the Bush Tax Cuts??

His little trial balloon about "compromise" must have burned up his phone banks with hostile calls. He turned back towards the hard line right in less than 36 hours.

For a Milquetoast squish, that is FAST.

19 posted on 09/13/2010 1:33:32 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: Maine Mariner
ND goes Republican. Hoeven leads Potter 65-25%

Yeah, I am not tracking the ones that are SURE bets. That one is so safe Hoeven could DIE and still win.

20 posted on 09/13/2010 1:35:04 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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