Posted on 09/12/2010 8:18:33 AM PDT by mountn man
Presidential Approval Index -13
Strongly Approve 30%
Strongly Disapprove 43%
Total Approve 46%
Total Disapprove 54%
Strongly Approve SOARS to 30%
Somebody fudged this one.
A bunch of people must have gotten checks in the mail.
Ras’s poll numbers vary. It’s because of the small sample size. Don’t get elated when it goes one way, and angry when it goes the other, it’s just statistical noise.
9/11 ceremonies.
Obama doesn’t care what the polls say. In fact, he doesn’t care what anyone thinks - not even his own people.
Yes, 9/11 ceremonies.
Normal people would have him in the single digits.
We need to accept the reality that barry has a natural and forever support base of about 42 to 47 percent that will go for him no matter what.
This thing has been swinging back and forth like this for months. Today the swing was down. Two days ago it was a large swing up. It’s getting hard to pay that much attention to it accept their is a hard core 25% + or - who will always strongly approve. That number hasn’t budged in a long time.
This thing has been swinging back and forth like this for months. Today the swing was down. Two days ago it was a large swing up. It’s getting hard to pay that much attention to it except their is a hard core 25% + or - who will always strongly approve. That number hasn’t budged in a long time.
This bounce goes all over the place...one day he is -23 and a few days he is -13? This is just not possible.
I call shenanigans!
His little stump speeches are helping him. Sad.
If you look at the amount of noise on the charts, a 10 point swing is not out of line. A 30 day moving average would give a better indication of long term trends.
Statistical noise. Look at the average over the last 2 months. The purple-lipped one is not doing well, despite the media shield.
Obama doesn’t care what the polls say. In fact, he doesn’t care what anyone thinks - not even his own people.
That’s right.
The sample size in any poll is usually ridiculously undersized. I think the same can be said for many medical studies as well - and these are endeavors that measure objective facts, not subjective opinions like political polls. You would think to get an accurate representation of the electorate, the sample size wold need to be in the tens of thousands, perhaps even the hundreds of thousands, especially considering we're talking about roughly 70 million voters.
Joe Miller was a surprise because their "sample" was wrong. I think Rasmussen does probably as well or better than anyone else, but he is still wanting in the end.
Two different indexes. The -23 index is -19 today
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
The -13 is the somewhat approve/disapprove
I believe that number is closer to 30-35%. Made up of blacks, liberal yutes, welfare leachf*#ks, and pointy headed liberal types(typically found in and around college campuses). If you are right, and his base support truly IS in the 42-47% range, we are totally screwed....
Saturday was a "perfect" weather day here at the Jersey shore. My wife and I went for a walk on the boardwalk. My kid even drove down here from north Jersey to get in some rollerblading.
Who stayed home to answer the phone yesterday?
Today is rainy and cold and just yucky out. Expect Zero's numbers to drop.
I suspect both the -24 of a few days ago, and the current -13, are outliers. Obama's Approval Index has been trending toward the -16 to -19 range for some time now, and I expect his numbers to return to that range soon.
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