District-by-district polls already show 2010 should eclipse 1994. (So make it happen!)

Various poll sources ^ | 9-6-10 | Dangus

[dangus]

Generic polls:
Fox: Republicans, 46-37 (+9)
USA Today: 49-43 (+6)
Rasmussen: 45-39 (+6)
Gallup: 51-41 (+10)

(Look for Rasmussen to show the Republican lead to jump back up a few points, as they re-compute their weightings to show a significant change in party identification.)

[InterceptPoint]

Nice list. But you could do us all a favor by flagging the changes from your last report.

I'm working hard to keep the KeyHouseRaces poll data up to date so I audit your list against mine just to see if I've missed anything. (I picked up 3 or 4 from your earlier post.) And of course Source and Poll Date would be nice but I can find those myself and it is a lot of work as you have noted previously.

And you need a ping list. People are interested in these polls.

[grania]

These numbers are awesome. I'd wager they don't even begin to tell the story. And Obama is going to OH again to talk about MORE government spending, to really, really create jobs this time?

I'm wondering about the northern third of OH. Except for those two Cleveland districts (and even Kucinich betrayed us after promising to vote against Obamacare and caving) I wouldn't be surprised to see a different set of fed-up voters come out to vote this time. Could OH sweep Republican, except for a few urban HOR districts?

[dangus]

Ill certainly keep records of updates between now and my next post. I haven’t really worried about the polling firm because nearly all of them are smaller or local firms; it’s not worth the work if they don’t mean anything to anyone. Almost none of these are done by the big, recognizable names (Gallup, Rasmussen, or even Quinnipiac, Public Policy Polling, etc.) But I’ll note the firms and dates on the updates.

[napscoordinator]

PA 12 Burns 44, Critz 40 R+1

Oh please. We are told every election cycle that this is guaranteed Republican and then it NEVER happens. It started with Ivey and has continued on forever. This by the way is Murtha’s old seat. Every cycle we talk about how this time it will become Republican and then the seat goes Democratic by huge margin. I hope all these seats are not bloated by statistics that show huge Republican gains because if we are using false data we are not going to be happy on 3 November.

[SampleMan]

This is great news, but this in NOT the end game.

We need to an ongoing “hearts and minds” campaign, because simply getting a Republican congress isn’t going to fix anything, stall the fall maybe, but it won’t fix anything.

We need 67 Senators (not counting RINOS), a House majority, and the White House.

Conservatives need to roll into Nov. 2010 with a four year game plan.

Replace election ads with public service type commercials talking directly about individual liberty, limited government, and fiscal prudence.

We need to make clear that 50 years of run away spending and debt cannot be fixed overnight, nor without a change in attitude.

[bert]

.....VA 9 Griffith 40, Boucher 50 R+11.....

If the Pubs win this one, there has been a complete rout.

[dangus]

You’re told EVERY election cycle, huh? Wow. That’s amazing, because I’d NEVER seen Murtha polling behind ANY candidate EVER in his ENTIRE career.

This poll was blown earlier this Spring, and yes, it’s actually the same pollster again, too. But there were two super-competitive primaries in Pennsylvania on the date of the special election. The consensus among pollsters was that these resulted in Democrat turnout being much higher than Republican turnout.

[dangus]

>> .....VA 9 Griffith 40, Boucher 50 R+11..... If the Pubs win this one, there has been a complete rout. <<

Well, I found 72 districts MORE likely to flip. And probably dozens without polls, so I’d have to agree with you.

[bert]

BTW..... your effort is appreciated. Thanks

[napscoordinator]

Perhaps you did not get on the Murtha threads. I don’t know why you never heard of this before. Anyway good luck with getting this district in the red. We need it red badly. My family lives there (cousins, aunts uncles, grandparents). My parents moved to Allentown in 1976 with us kids so obviously I can’t vote in this district, but it always interests me since I visit there so often.

[Seattle Conservative]

WA-2 - Larsen/Koster is probably from a King 5 TV/Survey USA poll (see post #35):

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2583141/posts

[dangus]

I did see many threads about candidates hopeful that they could beat Murtha, because it was a Republican-leaning district and Murtha had ceased to be moderate, in fact becoming a deranged, anti-American lunatic. But none of those candidates were ever leading in any real poll, to my knowledge.

[dangus]

Yes, it was from SurveyUSA.

[dangus]

Yes, it was from SurveyUSA.

[napscoordinator]

Well you have the Murtha person down pat. lol. Maybe I misunderstood hope for polls. :)

[rrrod]

Make it happen folks! This is the tidal wave we have ben waiting for...for years!

[Drango]

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/

[no dems]

I’d be interested in being on a “Ping” list.

no dems