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RAND predicts health-care reform will lower cost, expand coverage
Atlanta Journal Constitution ^ | 9/2/2010 | Jay Bookman

Posted on 09/02/2010 2:13:50 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom

The smart folks at RAND — an actual real-life think tank, as opposed to an ideological group masquerading under the think-tank name — have taken a look at what’s likely to happen to health insurance coverage as a result of the health-care reform package signed into law earlier this year.

Among other things, the RAND study published in the New England Journal of Medicine finds that work-based insurance will grow in importance under the reform, a prediction that “is very robust to variations in modeling assumptions.”

In other words, they’re pretty damn sure about it.

“Although the model allows employers to drop coverage in response to the reform, we estimate that the law will result in a large net increase in employer-sponsored insurance offers. We predict that the number of workers offered coverage will increase from 115.1 million (84.6% of the approximately 136.0 million U.S. workers) to 128.7 million (94.6%) after the reform. This increase is not driven by penalties levied on employers with more than 50 workers. In fact, the probability of being offered coverage increases proportionately more for workers at small firms than for workers at large firms, even though small firms are not subject to penalties….

The large increase in offers provided by small businesses is driven primarily by two factors: greater demand for coverage by workers due to individual penalties for being uninsured and the availability of new, often lower-cost insurance options (because of administrative savings, for example) for small businesses that offer coverage on the exchanges.”

The folks at RAND further believe that insurance plans offered through exchanges set up under the law will be particularly appealing to business, “owing to wider risk pooling, low administrative costs, and expanded choices.” In fact, the study predicts, “firms making decisions on the basis of costs and benefits of their insurance options, including new subsidies and penalties, will frequently choose to offer insurance rather than to drop coverage and allow their workers to buy individual coverage.”

Of course, that’s not quite the health-care Armageddon that political opponents of the proposal have predicted. But hey, why listen to research conducted by non-partisan, highly trained experts in health care analysis when you can believe people such as John Boehner instead?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Georgia
KEYWORDS: healthcare; obamacare; rand; randcorp
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Another AJC idiot columnist deluding himself.
1 posted on 09/02/2010 2:13:52 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

Atlanta Urinal Constipation


2 posted on 09/02/2010 2:16:22 PM PDT by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

There are no positives to “Obamacare”. It’s a power grab and that’s all it is. It has nothing to do with healthcare.


3 posted on 09/02/2010 2:17:19 PM PDT by albie
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

Herman Kahn would be proud to know what his former employer is studying.


4 posted on 09/02/2010 2:17:53 PM PDT by Sawdring
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

Deluding himself about Obamacare?? Or Deluding himself that he’s a JOURNALIST?

I’m leaning toward BOTH.


5 posted on 09/02/2010 2:17:55 PM PDT by gwilhelm56 (Enough of Obama's Recovery ... Can I have my Bush Recession Back??)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

” The smart folks at RAND — an actual real-life think tank, as opposed to an ideological group masquerading under the think-tank name “

“Our” think-tanks - much like ‘our’ msm - are always wise and neutral — whereas ‘yours’ are profoundly biased......

/channelling Libs sarc.....


6 posted on 09/02/2010 2:18:36 PM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom
Among other things, the RAND study published in the New England Journal of Medicine finds that work-based insurance will grow in importance under the reform, a prediction that “is very robust to variations in modeling assumptions.”

Screams of idiocy. The current health care reform act will wipe out employer based insurance. It is cheaper for companies to pay the fine than provide the insurance.

7 posted on 09/02/2010 2:20:58 PM PDT by CMAC51
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To: Uncle Ike

They get huge government grants to waste money doing studies designed to bolster Democrat talking points. This is just like the study plastered on every Democrat paper today about less illegals. They have been busy wasting our money and will probably have a study a day to try and help the Crats.


8 posted on 09/02/2010 2:25:02 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (m)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

Just so y’all know, I think this is refering to RAND Corportation, which doesn’t appear to have any philosophical ties to Ayn Rand or the Ayn Rand institute, www.aynrand.org .

I’m sure that’s pretty obvious, but someone will undoubtedly think otherwise.


9 posted on 09/02/2010 2:26:46 PM PDT by meyer (Our own government has become our enemy,...)
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To: Uncle Ike

From 1961 (cold war)

Oh, the Rand Corporation’s the boon of the world,
They think all day long for a fee.
They sit and play games about going up in flames;
For counters they use you and me, honey bee,
For counters they use you and me.

It’s so nice to know we have Rand on our side,
We’ll always have good old Rand around;
A zillion will be fried out, but in some neat hideout,
Rand will be safe under ground, praise the Lord,
Rand will be safe under ground.

With a stroke of the pen, they can change us from men
Into numbers that flash on the wall.
These brainy heroes transform us to zeros,
So who gives a damn if we fall, after all,
Who gives a damn if we fall.

Their superior genes will be safe behind screens,
With the rest of our line doomed to die;
We’ll be all sorted out, past a shadow of doubt,
By the all-wise electronic eye; bow down
To the mighty electronic eye.

They will rescue us all from a fate worse than death
With a touch of the push-button hand;
We’ll be saved at one blow from the designated foe,
But who’s going to save us from Rand, dear Lord,
Who’s going to save us from Rand?


10 posted on 09/02/2010 2:28:19 PM PDT by Roccus (......and then there were none.)
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To: albie
There are entirely too many phony-baloney fascistic "solutions" in Obamakkkare for it to succeed at anything but raising prices, driving capable medical personnel out of the business, and making people die.

It's your basic ignant Democrat plan to make everybody miserable.

11 posted on 09/02/2010 2:30:24 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: albie

That has the sound of hyperbole to it, but I think it’s probably the most accurate statement to be made regarding Obamacare.


12 posted on 09/02/2010 2:33:58 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (UniTea! It's not Rs vs Ds you dimwits. It's Cs vs Ls. Cut the crap & lets build for success.)
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To: Roccus; Admin Moderator

Copywrite Malvina Reynolds 1961 renewed 1989

(just checking to make sure all is OK)


13 posted on 09/02/2010 2:35:03 PM PDT by Roccus (......and then there were none.)
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To: DoughtyOne

Hyperbole is the best thing ever!


14 posted on 09/02/2010 2:36:53 PM PDT by Drill Thrawl (Rahm and George at Doe's when the knife came down)
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To: Drill Thrawl

I have at least one bowl full every morning.

= :-)


15 posted on 09/02/2010 2:39:54 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (UniTea! It's not Rs vs Ds you dimwits. It's Cs vs Ls. Cut the crap & lets build for success.)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom

RAND report online here:

http://rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9504/


16 posted on 09/02/2010 2:41:40 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: Oshkalaboomboom
why listen to research conducted by non-partisan, highly trained experts in health care analysis when you can believe people such as John Boehner instead?

Yeah, and I prefer John Stewarts journalism ethic too....Most libtards think if its in the NY Times, its TRUUUUUUEEEEEEE!!!! And if one of their thinks pukes it out, then its gospel. Secular-Humanist gospel that is.

17 posted on 09/02/2010 2:47:49 PM PDT by King Moonracer (Bad lighting and cheap fabric, that's how you sell clothing.....)
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To: mrsmith

Sorry, that’s n earlier study. Couldn’t find this one on their site.

BTW, this study was funded under U.S. Department of
Labor contract
DOLJ089327414

per NEJM.


18 posted on 09/02/2010 2:49:04 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: Oshkalaboomboom
From Wiki:

RAND Corporation (Research ANd Development[2]) is a nonprofit global policy think tank first formed to offer research and analysis to the United States armed forces by Douglas Aircraft Company. It is currently financed by the U.S. government, a private endowment,[3] corporations [4] including the healthcare industry, universities[5] and private individuals.
It's seems to me like they could have a conflict of interest.
19 posted on 09/02/2010 2:56:51 PM PDT by Moonman62 (Politicians exist to break windows so they may spend other people's money to fix them.)
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To: Oshkalaboomboom
My favorite award for lib lunacy........


20 posted on 09/02/2010 2:59:10 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there.)
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