MI 13 Clarke 44, Cheeks-Kilpatrick 31 D+31
Those were the Dem primary candidates. Hansen Clarke beat the incumbent, Kwame’s mommie. GOP has no shot here.
Thanks, that one seemed very odd.
IL-17: Schilling (R) 45%, Hare (D) 32% D+3
Could someone please explain to me why the mainstream media continues to insist this race is "Likely Rat"? Phil Hare's been in free fall for sometime now. Schilling is polling better against Hare than many Republican challengers running in majority GOP districts!
And the other races in my home state:
IL-8: Walsh (R) 38%, Bean (D) 37% R+1
Walsh making a comeback and taking Bean out would be the upset of the year in this state. I'd love to see Bean gone. She's become everything she attacked Phil Crane for.
IL-14 Hultgren (R) 44% , Foster (D) 37% R+1
Looking good for taking back "Speaker Hastert's old seat". Maybe Roskam & Hultgren's state seat is becoming a training ground for future Congressmen. ;-)
IL-10 Kinzinger (R) 52%, Halvorson (D) 32% D+6
Are they mixing up IL-10 with IL-11? IL-10 is Kirk's seat, it's Dold (R) vs. Seals (D) there. It went to Obama by 61%, sounds like a much more likely contender for "D+6" than IL-11. IL-11 was drawn to be about 52% GOP - 48% DEM in 2000. I doubt Obama carried the Will Co.-to-Kankakee regions by big enough margins to make it D+6 in comparison to the "average" district.
Kinzinger is doing great and on track to beat Halvonson and take back IL-11 (Jerry Weller's old seat). But Bob Dold is struggling against 2-time loser Dan Seals in IL-10. Dold needs to more of his own man and stop trying to be Mark Kirk lite. I think Kirk fatigue is creating a backlash there. Kirk won twice against Seals in heavy RAT turnout years, there's no reason why Dold shouldn't be beating him in a year with heavy GOP support.