Posted on 08/05/2010 7:59:03 AM PDT by pabianice
I still believe Democrats will keep control of the Congress, for these reasons:
1. The publication of the book Decision Points by former President George W. Bush will have a bombshell impact in the closing hours of the campaign. The publication date is Nov. 9. Here is what will happen:
The book will leak the week before the election. Probably the entire book. Certainly the most controversial revelations. The saturation media coverage will be intense. Karl Rove will be everywhere.
Voters will remember: It was a Republican president who initiated the bailout. It was Republican economics, championed by a Republican Congress, that caused the recession and created the curse of devastating unemployment. The bad memories will flow as details of the Bush book unfold in the days before the election.
I am no apologist for the shortcomings of the Democratic Party, but analyzing major trends, the most likely outcome is that Democrats retain control of both houses of Congress.
2. 2010 will not be a national wave election, but a wave election only in the 15-20 states where President Obama’s popularity is lowest. This will cost Democrats seats, but not enough to lose control.
3. House Democrats run far better campaigns than House Republicans. This is why Democrats won three major off-year elections.
4. House Democrats first elected in 2006 and 2008 have towering financial advantages over Republican challengers.
5. House Democrats have the tactical flexibility to adapt and improvise in their districts. They can ignore the spin from Washington insiders. They can run on their platforms for the future, backed by their huge financial advantage. They need not defend the present, a mistake some Democrats make, or advocate a return to the Bush past, a mistake most Republicans make.
6. While Democrats have many imperfections, Republicans remain as unpopular as they were during the Bush years. They have no coherent or appealing program except vendetta opposition to President Obama and fanatical opposition to any change from the widely unpopular Bush years.
7. Overzealous GOP rhetoric on immigration will do a generation of damage to Republicans with the great Hispanic demographic wave.
didn’t he get the memo? the book’s publication has been delayed...
I disagree.
What an idiot.
what’s that denial illness called?
Democrat's subprime loan scams caused the crash you ass-wagon!
Sorry Charlie, the book has been delayed until after November.
I think the Democrats will keep control on the elections, too.
Why? Who enforces election law? The justice department.
The Obama/Holder Justice Department.
‘Nuff said.
"Rather, I am a full-throated advocate of the Democratic Party."
2012 is also the end of the world per this buffoon
Meant to type I think the Democrats will keep control on after the elections, too.
Fingers need more coffee.
The writer is convinced that this 'inside baseball' stuff will move the average voter who ISN'T endlessly obsessed with Bush.
The writer is delusional. The day-to-day reality of life under Obama and Pelosi and Reid has one hundred times more importance than a book by Bush. Those who attend parties at Chrissy Matthews's house will be "Oh my GAWD!"-ing about the book; no one else will give a damn.
“Dems to keep Congress”
How does he do it? It must be hard to type with your fingers crossed...
This numb nuts political analysis puts Barone to shame.
sarc /
The elections of 2010 may signal which direction America will go for the next 50 years. Those voters that can’t already see the Communist handwriting on the wall are probably too stupid to recognize cause-and-effect until they are dragged to the killing fields.
I think it might not be such a bad idea for the Dems to keep the house. Obama won’t have the Republicans to blame for the next two years. Just make it close enough that the gubmnt goes into gridlock.
Start with a cage containing five monkeys. Inside the cage, hang a banana on a string and place a set of stairs under it. Before long, a monkey will go to the stairs and start to climb towards the banana.
As soon as he touches the stairs, spray all the other monkeys with cold water. After a while another monkey makes the attempt with same result, all the other monkeys are sprayed with cold water. Pretty soon when another monkey tries to climb the stairs, the other monkeys will try to prevent it.
Now, put the cold water away. Remove one monkey from the cage and replace it with a new one. The new monkey sees the banana and wants to climb the stairs.
To his shock, all of the other monkeys attack him. After another attempt and attack, he knows that if he tries to climb the stairs he will be assaulted.
Next, remove another of the original five monkeys and replace it with a new one.
The newcomer goes to the stairs and is attacked. The previous newcomer takes part in the punishment with enthusiasm.
Likewise, replace a third original monkey with a new one, then a fourth, then the fifth. Every time the newest monkey takes to the stairs he is attacked.
Most of the monkeys that are beating him up have no idea why they were not permitted to climb the stairs or why they are participating in the beating of the newest monkey. After replacing all of the original monkeys, none of the remaining monkeys have ever been sprayed with cold water. Nevertheless, no monkey ever again approaches the stairs to try for the banana.
Why not?
Because as far as they know, that is the way it has always been done around here.
And that, my fellow monkeys, is how Congress operates...
We need to REPLACE all the original monkeys this November.
No, it was a Democrat Congress since 2007 (when the unemployment graph turned upward).
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