Posted on 07/10/2010 10:13:30 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
BTTT
Another ping. Freepmail me if you want on or off our list.
Thank you for this. A quick look makes me think that there are more races going democrat...but I might be wrong..
great job on this chart and you can tell a lot of effort goes into it- I’d like to make one recommendation...
I don’t know if these seats are all presently held by the rats or a combination of all seats up for grabs in November...if it is the latter maybe you can shade the box which lists the district red or blue, depending on who now holds the seat...
I think we’ll see these “experts” changing their minds on AZ 1,5 & 8 now that Holder-Obama have filed their dumb@ss lawsuit against the Arizona immigration law. I won’t be surprised to see all three of these RAT seats go Republican in November.
I think the other two RAT seats are heavily Hispanic districts and will probably not be affected, but Giffords, Mitchell, and Kirkpatrick will be lucky to survive the machinations of their own party.
FL 22...Allen West(R).....upset Victory pending.
That's my district!
Cook and EP are wrong. This district does not lean dem in any way. It is VERY conservative. Whoever wins Tuesday will win in November. I'm voting for Rick Barber, who will beat Bobby Bright (who is the most conservative dem in the House, but still a dem) easily. But even if Roby wins, she too will beat Bright.
also- keep an eye on NY18, presently held by Lowey and NY19, presently held by John Hall- both are very vulnerable this November....
I’m been speaking with the GOP here in Westchester (a bunch of dopes really) and the feeling is Lowey is really scared and she’s been getting a lot of resistance at her town hall meetings...
Also- there’s a woman doctor named Nan Hayworth running against Hall, who is disliked here...she’s got the intellectual and philosophical edge over him by miles but he’s backed with Soros money...the feeling is she still will take him...
This stuff makes my eyes go crossed.
Thank you for adding me.
One other thing, Interceptpoint:
Could you explain to me what Cook’s table heading PVI stands for? For the Alabama 2nd, he has “Leans democratic”, but the PVI for this is R+16. What does that mean?
I understand - it is all a bit complicated.
But sometime before November 2010 you need to get those eyes uncrossed, focus them like a laserbeam on unseating socialist-Dems and then head to the polls for what we believe will be an historic election.
One more ping. Let me know if you want on or off our ping list.
Please keep me on the ping list.
The Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index (PVI) Explained In August of 1997, The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as a means of providing a more accurate picture of the competitiveness of each of the 435 congressional districts. Using the 1992 and 1996 major-party Presidential voting results, the PVI measured how each congressional district performed compared to the nation as a whole. Using the results of the 2004 and 2008 elections, we have updated these PVI ratings and have even more information to draw upon to understand the congressional level trends and tilts that will help to define upcoming elections. Developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata, the index is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. While other data such as the results of senatorial, gubernatorial, congressional and other local races can help fine tune the exact partisan tilt of a particular district, those kinds of results don't allow a comparison of districts across state lines. Only Presidential results allow for total comparability.
Hey marshal, who is the one for TN 6th. I haven’t made a decision but some clarity from your camp would be welcome.
Leave me on for now.
Using "Experts" is the best that KeyHouseRaces can do right now since there really aren't a lot of polls out there yet. But as we move forward to November this will change and while we will be keeping track of the "Experts" we will all be reading the polls ourselves and seeing what we can make of them. In the end it will be the polls that tell the story.
So our plans at KHR are to get set up to track the polls for all the districts on our list and to keep them updated and easily accessible. That's a big job but I guess that's what we signed up for.
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