Bottom line: competitive if Capito runs, but probably no chance if she declines.
This is not until 2012...today, we cares. A whole lot can happen between today and 2012.
Just let Sarah Palin do her magic.
Scott Brown faced much worse odds.
Funny, but Manchin lays claim to being pro-life. Capito doesn't, last I knew.
I was talking to one of my new neighbors in Kentucky and he was telling me about a guy up the road. Apparently the guy is fairly conservative in his political beliefs, but he is a yellow dog democrat. My neighbor says the guy votes democrat on every party vote, with no regard to the actual candidate at all. Literally, if Hitler was resurrected as the democratic candidate, this guy would vote for him.
I think Byrd’s constituency may have a few guys in it like that.
The WV legislature could clarify the law so that a special election is held this year. Whether the Governor wants to run would probably decided whether the legislature does this or not. The thinking is that the Governor would appoint a placeholder to serve out the unexpired term and not himself, without a special, but might want to run himself if there is one. The Governor has positioned himself as a conservative Democrat. But, it would be more difficult to do this running for federal office than for state office. Since the polling results are for a hypothetical contest, they aren’t as meaningful as polling involving actual contestants. Nevertheless, being above 50 percent is a very good place to be.
This poll explains what the Democrats have been up to over the past week. They have internal polling that shows that Manchin will win against any possible Republican candidate, so the Democrat Secretary of State and Attorney General discover that the law would permit an early special election this year provided the Governor asks for it in a special session of the Legislature. You can be sure that he will do just that.
If the polls were not favorable, there would be no talk of a 2010 special election, and they would all be saying that they have to respect the law and wait until 2012. Immediately after Byrd died, a number of Freepers were clamoring for a special election this November. Looks like they will get their wish and the outcome will almost certainly be a Democrat Senator in Byrd’s seat.
Dems want cap and trade. Only the GOP can save the WV coal industry. Find a Republican mailman. He’ll win.
Manchin is well liked in the state. Manchin will win the senate...... I’d like to see Betty Ireland back in politics...her Mom was ill before and she took care of her...she has since passed.
We will never get to a super majority of 60 senators to repeal death care and other Barry initiatives if we can not win in a conservative state like WV.
It is sad we have mile long posts about some worthless RINO in ultra liberal states and how evil the RINO’s are but will elect a LIBERAL who will have a conservative rating in the senate of around 12 like the rest of the 20 something so called ‘conservatives’ from conservative states and have post like this here. There should be outrage.
Like other conservative states these people are of 2 types the greedy ‘bring home the bacon’ at all cost, even if it means destroying their country or the as stupid as the human species can be crowd.