Well the El Nino and La Nina stuff is the real deal. It has been happening for hundreds of years.
The better predictor for Florida, I think, is if there has been a wet May with lots of rain. A wet spring and early summer keeps the hurricanes away. I am not sure why - maybe the jetstream is setup up so rainy fronts block hurricanes. ???
What the patterns do, depending on which one, is to lop the tops off the incoming storms when they approach the Gulf, and East coast and try to run up the slot or across Florida. It won't stop them from slamming into Central Mexico and it does not always work. Has more to do with low pressure areas replacing the usual high, or the other way around.
It's obvious that the idea that they can predict named storms, much less predict how many will hit the US is a farce.
La Nina means a cooling in the tropical pacific. The cooling is caused by global warming, thus more hurricanes.
La Nina means a cooling in the tropical pacific. The cooling is caused by global warming, thus more hurricanes.
I find when Texas is as wet as it has been this year...it means a strong El Nino...