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Kentucky Senate race knotted (Rand Paul / Jack Conway tied at 43%)
Public Policy Polling (via WSJ) ^ | 07/06/10 | Tom Jensen

Posted on 07/06/2010 8:16:35 PM PDT by coaltrain

Kentucky voters don't think much of Rand Paul and as a result the race to replace Jim Bunning in the Senate is tied. Paul and Jack Conway are getting 43% each.

The more Kentucky voters get to know Rand Paul, the less they like him. When PPP first polled the race in December Paul's favorability was a +3 spread at 26/23. By May it was a -7 spread at 28/35. Now it's a -8 spread at 34/42. The national media attention Paul has received has hurt his cause with voters in the state- 38% say it has made them less likely to support Paul while 29% say it has made them more inclined to vote for him and 33% say it hasn't had an impact on their attitude toward Paul one way or the other.

(Excerpt) Read more at onespot.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bunning; kentucky; paul; rand
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To: Kenny Bunk
I believe we are in a much more unstoppable trend known as the 10 stages of Societal regression. Most experts in this belief see us between the 8th & 9th stage. (Apathy & Dependency) The more desperate things become, the more people become dependent on the Government. This is when the last stage takes hold; Tyranny. It also points out that on the average, most nations go through this process every 2 hundred years. Amerika is now 235 year old. Do the math.
41 posted on 07/06/2010 9:23:53 PM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP ( Give me Liberty, or give me an M-24A2!)
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To: taxtruth

English grammar and logic are good things.


42 posted on 07/06/2010 9:27:37 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (Good night. I expect more respect tomorrow - Danny H (RIP))
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

Not when it comes to politics.It’s a very nasty business.


43 posted on 07/06/2010 9:38:10 PM PDT by taxtruth (Something really stinks In The Federal Government/Mafia and I think it's BO!)
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To: coaltrain
Rasmussen's poll, done at the same time as the PPP poll, shows different results.

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44 posted on 07/06/2010 9:42:21 PM PDT by ansel12 (Mitt: "I was an independent during the time of Reagan-Bush. I'm not trying to return to Reagan-Bush")
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To: taxtruth

Bill Buckley wrote about politics, He used grammar and logic and was often nasty. But people understood what he was writing, when he cut down on foreign words.


45 posted on 07/06/2010 9:48:04 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (Good night. I expect more respect tomorrow - Danny H (RIP))
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To: org.whodat

Your choice is Ron Paul’s son who is more conservative than his more libertarian father or Conway who will vote for Obama every time he’s needed.

You guys in Kentucky better make that McCrystal clear to everyone your know!!


46 posted on 07/06/2010 9:52:17 PM PDT by Steelers6
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To: RachelFaith; alicewonders

You’re absolutely right and I am happy to see Kentuckian alicewonders agree with you. Were Rand Paul in the US Senate right now, he would lead a filibuster against Kagan!

Let’s not forget that Senator Bunning endorsed Rand Paul over Mitch McConnell’s boy, Trey Grayson, so I think Senator Bunning’s people will vote for Rand along with most other Republicans, plus the Libertarians and Independents will vote for Rand Paul.

KY will not elect the democrat to help further Obama’s Marxist agenda.


47 posted on 07/06/2010 9:56:15 PM PDT by onyx (Sarah/Michele 2012)
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Comment #48 Removed by Moderator

To: coaltrain

I knew it; all Conway has to do is say he is really Alben Barkley, IV, and he will win in a landslide.


49 posted on 07/06/2010 10:06:28 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: onyx

Sadly, we do not have a Rand Paul in the Senate, and thus we WILL get a Kagan. I don’t think anyone of them currently in will do a filibuster and force the Dems to get 60. I know what is happening. A few Dems MUST vote no, so they are making deals with a few GOP who will vote YES to give these Dems cover. They have at best 58 votes, less if one will do a filibusterer and make noise on this case. And they do NOT have the 60. Whatever the vote is, in the end, it will be LESS than 60. We CAN stop this, but without a radical like Paul, none will.


50 posted on 07/06/2010 10:16:50 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Unless the GOP Senate ruins it all...)
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To: coaltrain

Lemme guess - - this scumbag Conway is pretending to be “conservative”?


51 posted on 07/06/2010 10:20:23 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

Go work for Bill then.Everyone has an agenda.


52 posted on 07/06/2010 10:27:30 PM PDT by taxtruth (Something really stinks In The Federal Government/Mafia and I think it's BO!)
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To: org.whodat
Did I say ky was approving of obamma? NO, Never said that, next question.

They would have to be to vote in another Democrat, wouldn't they?

53 posted on 07/06/2010 10:29:04 PM PDT by Defiant (2010 is pretty much it, folks. Send them packing, or start packing.)
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To: coaltrain
It seems we have a lot of rats on this thread maybe from media matters.This is very common on FR.Heads up freepers!
54 posted on 07/06/2010 10:36:51 PM PDT by taxtruth (Something really stinks In The Federal Government/Mafia and I think it's BO!)
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To: taxtruth

Everybody may have an agenda, but since I do not understand your first post I will have to do without knowing yours.


55 posted on 07/06/2010 10:39:30 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (Good night. I expect more respect tomorrow - Danny H (RIP))
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To: ansel12

BWHAHAHAHAHA.....has anybody bothered to look at the internals on this poll?

Q16 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If you are a
Republican, press 2. If you are an independent
or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat 52%
Republican 37%
Independent 11%

This in a state that hasn’t elected a Democrat senator in 1992 if I read the history correctly.

Right.

They even undersampled McCain voters! 53% in the sample versus 57% in the actual election.

So...they polled over half Democrats in a state that hasn’t elected a Democrat senator in 18 years or voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1996 (when Slick Willie won by less than 1%).

Based on the above, I’d put Paul on about a 10% cushion. And given the very real “intensity gap” between the Dems and GOP - which is only likely to get worse - I’d say probably more.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_706.pdf

Hank


56 posted on 07/06/2010 11:07:26 PM PDT by County Agent Hank Kimball (Where's the diversity on MSNBC? Olbermann, Schultz, Matthews, Maddow.....all white males!)
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To: All

What in the hell is wrong with Freepers on this site lately? Just what is your agenda?

The agenda is supposed to be electing conservatives but instead I hear whining when we nominate conservatives and people saying we’ll lose because we did. Paul may not be a conservative per se but Angle is and the same garbage is being used against her. Repeating the liberal and establishment talking point that someone is too extreme over and over even when they are leading. Enough!!

If anyone had bothered to follow this race you’d know this PPP poll is an outlier. RASS and SurveyUSA show Rand firmly in the lead. PPP on the other hand not only produces a different result but their poll results in elections have been hit and miss of late.

Thanks to the few people who posted internals of this poll and challenged the talking point that conservatives are extremists setting themselves up to lose every election cycle because we knocked off the establishment’s candidate. The rest of you need to grow a spine and stop succumbing to what our enemies want to become conventional wisdom.


57 posted on 07/06/2010 11:42:30 PM PDT by Soul Seeker (?)
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To: coaltrain

Elections are won in November, not July. Hopefully Paul has enough money to run a good campaign and with a clear message to tell the voters. Does anyone know how much money they both have received?


58 posted on 07/07/2010 1:11:23 AM PDT by snowflake2428
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Since Markos outed R2K polling as being bogus, I guess the Center for American Progress and their minions have gone with the next best left pollster.


59 posted on 07/07/2010 2:50:24 AM PDT by FreeStateYank (I want my country and constitution back, now!)
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To: RachelFaith

The idea that if only Rand Paul(!) was in the U.S. Senate would result in a Kagan filibuster is laughable. Ever heard of Collins, Snowe, Graham, McCain, Alexander, Bond, Voinovich ...


60 posted on 07/07/2010 4:46:04 AM PDT by Servant of the Cross (the Truth will set you free)
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