The idea that if only Rand Paul(!) was in the U.S. Senate would result in a Kagan filibuster is laughable. Ever heard of Collins, Snowe, Graham, McCain, Alexander, Bond, Voinovich ...
I will take your bet right here and now. You list the GOP “YES” votes and then we will see if you are right and the total is 60 or better. If not, as Calvin Coolidge said “YOU LOSE”. Sadly, America will lose as well, but in your contempt for Rand Paul, so don’t seem to mind tossing Baby America out with the Paul bath water.