Posted on 06/10/2010 8:38:09 AM PDT by MissesBush
Sharron Angle, following her come-from-behind Republican Primary win Tuesday, has bounced to an 11-point lead over Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada’s closely-watched U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Nevada, taken Wednesday night, shows Angle earning 50% support while Reid picks up 39% of the vote. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate, and six percent (6%) are undecided.
A month ago, Angle led Reid 48% to 40% but ran poorest against the incumbent of the three GOP primary hopefuls as she has for months.
Reid will try to portray Angle, a Christian conservative who drew heavily on Tea Party support for her win, as unacceptable to the state. Still, the race for now continues to be about the incumbent, who earned 61% of the vote when he was reelected in 2004 but whose support in this election cycle against any Republican candidate has never risen above the low 40s.
Despite their hotly-contested primary, Republicans already appear to be solidifying behind Angle who now earns 88% support among voters in her party. Reid draws 68% support from Democrats. Voters not affiliated with either party prefer Angle by 10 points.
During intense primary battles, supporters of one candidate often say they won't vote for the party nominee in November. That was the case in 2008 as a large number of Hillary Clinton's supporters said they were not likely to support Barack Obama in the general election campaign. However, by Election Day, most Clinton supporters came home and voted for their party's nominee.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Nevada was conducted on June 9, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
In line with voter sentiments nationally, 58% of Nevada voters favor repeal of the recently-passed national health care bill, championed by Reid, while 41% oppose repeal. This includes 47% who Strongly Favor repeal and 29% who Strongly Oppose it.
Seventy-nine percent (79%) of those who Strongly Favor repeal support Angle. Eighty-five percent (85%) of the smaller group who Strongly Oppose repeal support Reid.
Sixty-four percent (64%) of voters in Nevada favor passage of a tough immigration law like Arizona’s in their state, nine points higher than support nationwide. Twenty-five percent (25%) oppose such a law in Nevada.
Angle gets 73% of the vote from those who favor a law like Arizona’s. Reid draws 84% support from those who oppose a law like that in their state.
Sixty-seven percent (67%) of all voters in Nevada also support the chief requirement of the Arizona law that local police check the immigration status of anyone stopped for a traffic violation or some other violation if they suspect the person is an illegal immigrant. Just 21% oppose that requirement.
Twenty-six percent (26%) of voters in Nevada have a Very Favorable opinion of Reid, who has represented the state in the U.S. Senate since 1987. Forty-five percent (45%) view him Very Unfavorably.
Angle, a teacher by profession who now serves in the state legislature, is viewed Very Favorably by 20% and Very Unfavorably by 23%.
Both candidates are well-known in the state, but at this point in a campaign, Rasmussen Reports considers the number of people with a strong opinion more significant than the total favorable/unfavorable numbers.
Nevada voters are closely divided over their views of Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan and over whether she should be confirmed to the high court by the Senate.
Fifty-four percent (54%) believe the Gulf oil spill will have a devastating long-term impact on the environment, while another 30% predict that the impact will be major. Eighty-one percent (81%) say the companies involved in the oil drilling should pay for the cleanup, but 17% say the government should help with the cost as well.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of Nevada voters approve of the job President Obama is doing, but 51% disapprove. This is roughly in line with voter opinions nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in Arizona, Alabama, Arkansas, Pennsylvania, California, Colorado, Washington, Delaware, Indiana, Kentucky, Kansas, Maryland, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Connecticut, Illinois, North Carolina, Iowa, Vermont, Wisconsin, Idaho, Washington and Hawaii.
However, take heart. Dems tried this same desperate slime bag tactics in VA and they lost in a landslide. This is not a year where the tradition Democrat gutter politics is going to resonate with voters.
Reid’s negatives are so far in the tank, he can spend gazillions on his negative campaigning and he still wont win.
I hope your right. The Social Security stand just scares the living crap out of me. That was one Reid didn’t have on the other 2.
I think the key number in this poll is the low support for Reid among Democrats. There’s a lot of dissatisfaction there, but I don’t really expect it to last until November.
As election day approaches, watch for the ‘rat support of Reid to inch back up into at least the mid 80’s, probably higher. If it doesn’t, then he’s pretty much toast, no matter how much fraud goes on.
That won't last. Count on the rats to scamper home to their beloved party come November. Key to Angle's victory will be the indies.
Another meaningless poll.
50% of those who answered will not be good enough for Angle to win. It has been my experience that the dead rarely answer their phone.
I just hope that Angle doesn’t do something stupid to muck this up. The GOP has a history of that, you know.
That Tea Party label is really holding her down. She will win this in a rout.
Pray for America
“There’s a lot of dissatisfaction there, but I don’t really expect it to last until November.”
It may get worse for the Democrats as we continue to have stagflation and Obozo is the gift that keeps on giving.
“Another meaningless poll.”
Ras is one of the most consistant and accurate pollsters in the country. He is on 80% or greater on everything.
Rest assured. You are wrong.
Why? Is Reid going to argue that the current Social Security system, where nobody under the age of 50 even believes they’ll ever see ‘benefits’ is a good thing to keep?
Are you not aware of the condition of these entitlement programs and the hundred trillion in unfunded liabilities? Or is it that you yourself know, but think your fellow citizens don’t? If so, instead of wringing your hands about it, you should be out there trying to educate as many people as possible.
You know what’s really scary? That a system where we are FORCED to pay 12+% of our income into a system where IF we make it to age 65, they dole it back out to us in tiny increments, otherwise we get nothing, is something we can’t criticize, let alone dispense with.
Social security is not ‘compassionate’. It is a scam. And one whose time is rapidly running out. If we allow it to get to that point, without a sensible phaseout for younger people, then we REALLY DO risk a humanitarian crisis.
Here’s what I think should be done. (All together in one bill)
Means test it starting in 5 years on a sliding scale. The amount that comes out of paychecks slides downward with the means test. Then, phase it out completely the same way. When it’s phased out, elderly people who are not able to provide for themselves can get welfare instead, so there will be NO humanitarian crisis.
Some changes will be required to weed some people off welfare to make room for the new, probably more deserving welfare recipients. Drug tests will probably do the trick.
You may think that’s radical. Well, sorry to tell you that the radicals are the ones who have been in charge for many years now and it’s time for radical solutions to SOLVE these problems rather than kicking the can down the road for our kids.
If we don’t deal with these problems, the country is completely finished and electing ‘Republicans’ makes absolutely no difference.
Maybe. My point is more that the large lead Angle has is due primarily to post-primary "bounce" plus dissatisfaction with Reid by the 'rats. Look for the race to tighten up considerably if there are no major changes, as the "bounce" will fade and 'rats will run home to their sugar daddy.
You’ve already been informe RASS is a credible polster so I’ll just add this isn’t a Zogby interactive poll we’re speaking of here.
Reid is deeply unpopular. Angle is getting a nice bounce from winning the primary and that will disappear. But she’ll also benefit from Republican voters and disgruntled anti-Reid sentiment coming together now that a nominee has been selected. So long as no serious missteps are made on her part it doesn’t matter what mud Harry flings since his record and personality are a weight around his neck greater then anything that culd be dug up on her.
The dissatisfaction with Reid isn’t getting any better. Alot of people across this nation have abject hatred towards this government that is going to go beyond November. We live in different times and conventional political wisdom no longer applies.
There's four times as many anti-Reid stickers on cars here than I've ever seen pro-Obama stickers. I am starting to wonder if an anti-Reid sticker gets you out of a speeding ticket.
agreed...don’t get complacent....
Harry Reid has one BIG problem and that problem has a name. Harry Reid.
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