[rarestia]

Well, these are the folks in FTL. It always kills me when some egghead in Colorado predicts above average hurricane activity.

It’s pretty hot down here already, but I don’t see the right combination of factors contributing to an increase above what we normally see. Given the frigid winter we Floridians experienced, I’m going to say that the hurricane season is light, but I’m no meteorologist.

[Slings and Arrows]

FTL

For The Lulz?

[metmom]

It’s pretty hot down here already, but I don’t see the right combination of factors contributing to an increase above what we normally see. Given the frigid winter we Floridians experienced, I’m going to say that the hurricane season is light, but I’m no meteorologist.

You're right about the water temps.

The surface water temperature has to be above 80 F for hurricanes to even get started.

This map shows the water temperatures and there's a black dashed line that shows the 80 F mark.

I don't recall from year to year exactly what the temp maps look like, but I'd say that we've got some breathing room as far as hurricane development goes.

The warmest water is near land, which inhibits hurricane strength to begin with, and the water out to sea is cool enough that even if we get a tropical depression started, it's not likely to really strengthen much.

By the time it gets to the water warm enough to be a problem the land is interfering.