Quick google shows an April 22 poll for KABC-TV: Campbell with 34 percent, Fiorina with 27 percent, DeVore with 14. I only pulled up this one poll. I’m sure there are more, and I cant attest to the reliability, so fwiw.
http://www.capitolweekly.net/article.php?xid=ysd83puwg9xiu6
Capitol Weekly 4/22/10 gave Campbell a huge lead:
“In the Senate race, former Congressman Tom Campbell was favored by 31 percent of respondents. Former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina was next with 17 percent, followed by Assemblyman Chuck DeVore at 14 percent. More than 37 percent of those surveyed said they were still undecided.”
It's a stacked game. How do you think we got McCain? Stacked early primaries. Scozzafava. Specter in PA. The list goes on and on.
If there were more so-called conservatives who insisted on voting for conservatives in primaries instead of following the party line, we might have a better chance to get someone like Devore to get the name recognition that he needs.
Conservatives did it in Florida with Rubio, who knocked off a sitting governor in spite of the entire party structure being against him. He was lucky enough to have the resources to stay in the game. Devore doesn't--because too many alleged conservatives have bought the notion that we must support the RINO.