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Charlie Crist's Foolish Move
RCP ^ | 04/29/10 | Jay Cost

Posted on 04/29/2010 7:07:24 PM PDT by freespirited

What the hell is Charlie Crist doing?

This is insane. Two huge problems.

One, Independents don't win elections to the US Senate in three-way contests. Bernie Sanders and Joe Lieberman are in office because one party or the other implicitly backed them. By my count, the last candidate to win election to the Senate as an Independent (other than Sanders and Lieberman) was Harry Byrd of Virginia. He won in 1976 because the Republicans did not run a candidate. This is not coincidental; true third party candidacies almost never work:

-When it comes to Congress, there's no such thing as an "Independent." Senators and Representatives inevitably caucus with one side or the other because the party leaders dispense committee assignments. This means that Independents are only really independent when they're campaigning, not legislating. -Voters vote their partisanship, and most voters are partisan. The 2008 exit poll found that the Florida electorate was 37% Democrat, 34% Republican, and 29% Independent. I'd note that the exit polls don't ask Independents how they lean. Gallup asks that question, and that's why they currently find that only 12% of Americans are "pure" Independents.

-Voters are strategic. Remember the New Jersey governor's race? Independent Christopher Daggett was polling at 10%, but only got 5.8% on Election Day. There's a reason for that. American elections are winner take all, which makes it very difficult for third parties to thrive. Once voters catch wind that a vote for a third party candidate is a waste, they'll bail on that candidate....

Crist's political career will be over in just a few short months. What a fool.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010; charliecrist; congress; florida; floridasenate; greeniguana
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Jay Cost is always a good read.
1 posted on 04/29/2010 7:07:25 PM PDT by freespirited
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To: freespirited

“Crist’s political career will be over in just a few short months. What a fool.”

Good it is time for lousy leaders like him to fade into the shadows.


2 posted on 04/29/2010 7:11:30 PM PDT by DarthVader (That which supports Barack Hussein Obama must be sterilized and there are NO exceptions!)
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To: freespirited
Crist's political career will be over in just a few short months. What a fool.

I guess he figures if he can get away with the fake tan and gay sex with criminals, anythings possible.

3 posted on 04/29/2010 7:11:33 PM PDT by Rome2000 (OBAMA IS A COMMUNIST CRYPTO-MUSLIM)
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To: freespirited

I don’t know what Crist is thinking..And to try to contact Rahm??? He needs to bow out gracefully...Guess he’s not going to...


4 posted on 04/29/2010 7:12:36 PM PDT by hstacey (Army Mom...)
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To: freespirited

Crist is hoping to throw the election to the Democrats.


5 posted on 04/29/2010 7:12:43 PM PDT by hoosierham (Waddaya mean Freedom isn't free ?;will you take a credit card?)
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To: freespirited
Could have just stayed Governor and then run in 2012 against Nelson.

God, what an idiot. "Me! Me! My turn to run for the Senate!"

6 posted on 04/29/2010 7:13:04 PM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist (Obamunism: You have two cows. The regime redistributes them and shoots you dead)
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To: freespirited

I understand there is no run-off, that makes it possible I guess. Not likely though.


7 posted on 04/29/2010 7:15:03 PM PDT by GeronL (http://libertyfic.proboards.com << Get your science fiction and fiction test marketed)
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To: hoosierham
[Crist is hoping to throw the election to the Democrats.]

I believe so. He is being coached by the White House. If he can sabotage Rubio and Meek wins Crist will be rewarded—maybe ambassador to San Fransisco or Fire Island.

8 posted on 04/29/2010 7:17:04 PM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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To: freespirited

Democrats will back him hoping to split the Repub vote.


9 posted on 04/29/2010 7:17:32 PM PDT by TASMANIANRED (Liberals are educated above their level of intelligence.. Thanks Sr. Angelica)
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To: hoosierham

Crist f*cked us out of a very important senate seat. It’s “all about him” though, so he’s good with it. I hope an alligator eats him during one of his campaign stops.


10 posted on 04/29/2010 7:20:40 PM PDT by ErnBatavia (It's not the Obama Administration....it's the "Obama Regime".)
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To: freespirited

So why did Crist call Rambo deadfish Emanuel???? I’d say he’s got a party behind him...


11 posted on 04/29/2010 7:20:49 PM PDT by Freddd (CNN is down to Three Hundred Thousand viewers. But they worked for it.)
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To: hoosierham
Crist is hoping to throw the election to the Democrats.

I dont think so. Crist is so full of himself he actually believes he can win.

Sort of a clone of hugging buddy.

12 posted on 04/29/2010 7:22:26 PM PDT by freespirited (There are a lot of bad Republicans but there are no good Democrats.--Ann Coulter)
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To: freespirited
Eh.

His career was over anyway. He's the type of politician who made alliances of convenience, not long-lasting allies. Once power was gone, he was finished. So this is his shot and he's going all in.

It will be interesting to see what happens.

13 posted on 04/29/2010 7:23:28 PM PDT by tired_old_conservative
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To: Freddd
So why did Crist call Rambo deadfish Emanuel????

Because he is loon. Rambo is not going to help Charlie, he wants to elect Meek.

14 posted on 04/29/2010 7:23:52 PM PDT by freespirited (There are a lot of bad Republicans but there are no good Democrats.--Ann Coulter)
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To: freespirited

It’s called revenge. If he can’t win as a Pubbie, he’s going to try to bring the Pubs down with him.


15 posted on 04/29/2010 7:29:40 PM PDT by flaglady47 (To bastardize Samuel Johnson, tyranny is the last refuge of scoundrels)
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To: flaglady47

It’s an awful lot of energy to expend for revenge. I think Charlie is absolutely convinced he can and will win.


16 posted on 04/29/2010 7:34:29 PM PDT by freespirited (There are a lot of bad Republicans but there are no good Democrats.--Ann Coulter)
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To: freespirited

I saw there was a Crist ad on the page when I loaded it.

You know, it sounds conspiratorial, but I think he’s being blackmailed. This is an incredibly stupid move. He can’t win. He’s looking like a fool. If I’m right, it’s bigger than what everybody believes his real sexual orientation is.


17 posted on 04/29/2010 7:36:07 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: Brad from Tennessee

Yeah, but Rahm’s not taking his calls.

Cost may be right, he may hope that the Dems will dump Meek for him. Despite what he says about it being unlikely for the Dems to dump Meek, remember that (a) the Dems are sleazy and they can find a way to abandon Meek by manufacturing a scandal for him and (b) Obama doesn’t like independent blacks like Burris or Paterson. Obama likes to be the only game in town.


18 posted on 04/29/2010 7:44:24 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

I have been thinking the same thing.


19 posted on 04/29/2010 7:48:27 PM PDT by PackerBoy (Just my opinion ....)
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To: AmishDude

OK i am a Floridian and I will take the contrarian view, and suppose you all can tell me if I am full of it. I think this actually hurts the democrats. Reason being is crist vetoed senate #6 which the teacher unions love. I think he is not a RINO as much as a closet democrat among other things, i cannot think of any republicans whi think this guy is good for anything. He may unify the conservative vote and syphon the teacher union vote, the no drilling vote and other liberal leaning votes away from the democrat. I think this is a good thing....although the ideal would have been for wiener boy to lose the primary and then do the right thing and back Rubio.


20 posted on 04/29/2010 7:49:30 PM PDT by gas_dr (Trial lawyers AND POLITICIANS are Endangering Every Patient in America)
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