I’m not so sure. The Democrat margin has trended downward in the district.
Gore got 71% of the vote to 27% for Bush.
Kerry got 66% of the vote to 33% for Bush.
Obama got 65% of the vote to 34% for McCain.
Key things that will make a win happen. If the Democrats don’t bother to vote thinking its locked up it will be a big problem. Every Republican and Independent with any respect should be out in force today. The hard part will be keeping this seat in Nov but if Lynch wins he will have the status to raise funds going into Nov. People tend to only fund candidates they feel can win. This is unfortunate because the way you change districts like this one from unwinnable to winnable is by changing minds and making your case over and over again. I believe it isn’t totally beyond belief to see the race shift 16 points based on depressed Democrat voter turnout and motivated GOP independent turnout.
Well it has the black areas of Bradenton, Tampa and St. Pete. They had to run the line along the Bay where nobody lives. It also includes Egmont Key that is only inhabited by loyal Democrat Gopher Turtles. She is a wild eyed fanatic socialist. Way too Liberal for the rest of Tampa but we are outnumbered.
“Obama got 65% of the vote to 34% for McCain.”
The Maverick of the Senate!/sarc