The Judge better not be nominated then.
There is a converse to that. Now Moore would get his clock cleaned by Sparks as Sparks would hold the rural white trash vote and pick up Republicans in the city. Think something like Siegelman’s win in 1998.
However, it is true that many of those white trash rural people will defect if the nominee is Davis. The question is, with Moore, is it enough to offset the metro losses. I question if it is but it might not bet.