A new Wenzel Strategies poll of LVs is encouraging but also sobering re: taking back Congress

The Collins Report ^ | March 30, 2010 | Kevin “Coach” Collins

[jmaroneps37]

A March 22 – 24 Wenzel survey of 792 Likely Voters ( + – 3.46) is both encouraging and sobering for Republican chances of retaking the Congress.

Voters’ attitudes toward the TEA Party movement(TPM).

Not surprisingly, Democrats disapprove 69/21 but Republicans and Independents strongly approve of the movement 84/13 and 68/28 which is good news.

Men are pro TPM 66/32 but women, who vote more frequently, are lukewarm at 50/42.

The West isn’t encouraging at 45/45, but the East is 54/39 Midwest 61/34 and the South 68/31 are increasingly encouraging data items.

Those earning under 50k favor TPM 59/34 but at the upper income level of 125K+ the support is very strong at 63/36.

While the TPM is disapproved by 49% of Blacks Wenzel found 36% of Blacks support TPM. This is good news, but Whites, who are the largest voting group favor TPM 60/36. That’s the better news.

Is America on the right track or wrong track?

The Right track/Wrong track, is the most telling measure of coming voter behavior. Wenzel found polar opposite numbers for Democrat and Republican perceptions. Democrats think things are just fine by a 76/17 count. The very good news is that Republicans and Independents are sour on the direction of the country by 7/92 and 35/60 respectively.

Congressional job performance numbers

In generic terms over all Republicans lead 39.8 to 36.2. This is a nice spread but it shows we're not yet in the totally commanding position we need to be in to have the big night we want on November 3.

Are you more/less likely to vote for a Obamcare “Yes” voter?

More/less: Blacks 80/14, Whites 38/60; all Democrats less 17%. Republicans: 10/89 and Independents: 33/63.

Clearly we’re in a good position, but complicacy could be deadly. There is much work to do.

[jmaroneps37]

It's not as bright as we would like it but we are slowly catching traction and pulling a little bit further ahead each month. If the generic is around + 4 GOP, we will fall short, but it looks like we'll see it move up to +6 or +7 and with the built in curve of Democrats doing 2 points better in this measurement than they do on Election Day we'll take both Houses.

[Russ]

With all that’s been happening it should not even be close. I’m afraid the American people have not sufferred enough yet and are still drinking the liberal media kool-aid.

[DontTreadOnMe2009]

Not surprisingly, Democrats disapprove 69/21 but Republicans and Independents strongly approve of the movement 84/13 and 68/28 which is good news.

69/21 Dems vs. 28/68 Independents.

Didja notice that the DimWits are EXACTLY opposite the rest of the nation?????

[Tennessean4Bush]

Rasmussen has gop doing a little better - or at least did about a week ago.