Does Murphy live in her district?
Plenty of candidates ran. Most seemed to think the best choice was Village President Maria Rodriguez.
I think Walsh will win after Bean’s obamacare vote.
And that IL-17 is a real sleeper. The rat Hare is up just 7 points and most don’t want to see him reelected.
CQ politics has the Bean seat as “safe rat” and Halvorsen in the 11th as “likely rat”. Halvorsen trails the Republican by a significant margin, she’s toast. That one is lean GOP at least and Bean’s is a tossup.
Their ratings are seriously weak. You shouldn’t even list them Interceptpoint. Either they are a democrat’s wet dream or more likely they are just lazy and stupid.
Harry Reid was trailing everyone with an R for months before they even moved him to tossup.
Probably true but they are the best we have for now. I'm assuming that we will see movement in these ratings of the races as we move closer to the Primaries and to the November election. As these changes come in I plan to update the chart to reflect them. That may be a tall task but if enough people are looking at the Sabato et al data and our chart we should be getting enough feedback to keep it current.
And note that I've added Cook to the list so we have four "experts" evaluating the races. And, BTW, they seem to be in pretty close agreement with each other as you will see when I post today's update.
Yes, State Sen. Matt Murphy lives in Rep. Bean’s district. Most of his state senate district is in Kirk’s district, but Murphy lives in western Palatine, which is in Bean’s district.