Posted on 03/29/2010 8:36:51 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
Here is an update to the Vulnerable House Democrats - Master List that was posted yesterday on this thread.
It is still a work in progress but at least we are making progress. Comments on any our choices are welcomed and we are particularly interested in who we should be favoring in the various Primaries. We need good strong conservatives who can win in November.
The Chart has grown large enough that I'm posting it in two parts. Note that Names with a * in front of the name represents a Freeper Endorsement. We need more of those from everyone to help sort out the mad scramble of the Republican Primaries. The little pink box on some lines tell us that there are more than just the 3 candidates listed that are running. Those listed may or may not be the best. We need help sorting that out. It is, at this point the most critical need we have.
The Leans R etc. data is from Larry Sabato, ElectionProjection.com and CQPolitics.com. There are some blanks that I will fill in for the next update.
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It's geographically the largest congressional district in Texas and was previously represented by Henry Bonilla. The district was modified after court challenges to the legislature's 2003 redistricting to have more Hispanic voters. Unfortunately that caused Henry Bonilla to lose his seat in the 2006 elections.
The reason for the 2003 redistricting was a result of court challenges to the 2001 DemocRAT gerrymander of state senate and congressional districts. The state House of Representatives had already be redrawn by the courts before the 2002 elections giving Republicans their first majority since Reconstruction. In special sessions called by Governor Rick Perry, the Republican majority in the Texas House, was able to redraw state senate and congressional districts giving Republicans big gains in the 2004 elections. For the most part the courts accepted the 2003 redistricting except for TX-23.
Some think so. Some don't. Who can beat him? Do a little research and let us know what is going on in MI-1. We need to beat Stupak but we don't know yet who can do the trick.
I’ll find out and get back to see which of Chet opponents is the real deal
Hope you are right about Benishek. I've upgraded him to "Freeper Endorsed" status at the head of the list of candidates for MI-1.
It's shows how the incumbent voted for the final ObamaCare bill. I'm not sure we really need it on the list so it may go.
We need some polling data or some other strong indication that IA-2 is in play. Can you provide it?
Would love to see that RAT Charlie Gonzalez (TX-20) go down. Not sure who his challenger is.
I’ve given Chris Gibson the “Freeper Endorsement” for NY-20 and you will see that on the next update. And Tedisco is now off the list.
Thanks for the input. We'll update the chart with your info. What do you know about the other candidates? Is Ryan a viable candidate for the November election?
I’ve added in FL-22 to our list. We need to really pour on the support for Allen West.
Is Fitzpatrick "worthy" of getting a "Freeper Endorsed" rating?
Andy Harris is an excellent conservative candidate. He’s also a doctor. He’s got the political chops to take down Kravotil.
Harris is excellent in his own right, not “pretty good” in a liberal state. I literally bumped into him in a parking lot on the Eastern Shore of Maryland. He’s also a pretty nice guy.
I think the race among the GOP in D-1 in Maryland is pretty congenial. I am familiar with one other candidate, Haddoway, who also has conservative cred. I hope she might step aside. Regardless, I think she is also a very attractive and smart young candidate (born in 1977). It is good for these other conservatives to step up and get some exposure in a liberal state as long as they don’t begin to cut each others legs off, which I don’t think they will do.
Harris was poisoned in the primary last year, by RINOs Gilchrest and E.J. Pipkin. Certainly, they cost him 500 votes in the general election.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJ8AnvvDc9M
Great feedback-exactly what you were looking for!
I assume you’re noting all the FReeper faves, so I won’t shoot them to you. I’ll just update my list with same for cross checking purposes.
Ideas needed on how to disseminate this list to Tea Party chapters country wide.
Thanks.
Yes. I’m updating based on Freeper Recommendations including those from impy.
Chet Edwards 17th 53% in (08) - BUSH 70% (04) McCAIN 67%
Rodriguez......23rd 55% (08) - BUSH 64% (04) McCAIN 58%
Cuellar.........28th 68% (08) - BUSH 52% (04) McCAIN 43%
Ortiz.......... 27th 57% (08) - BUSH 55% (04) McCAIN 45%
Doggett ........25th 65% (08) - BUSH 37% (04) McCAIN 39%
Gene Green.. 29th 75% (08) - BUSH 44% (04) McCAIN 37%
I think we have a real chance to beat Edwards and Rodriguez and an even chance at Ortiz. Cuellar is probably safe and Doggett and Gene Green are a real stretch.
That's a tough call. Fitzpatrick, because of his name recognition, probably has the best chance of winning the primary and then kicking Mini-Murtha out the door. But his voting record is not the best you could hope for. He's a Catholic, and presumably pro-life, but there's no mention of that issue on his website (at least that I've found). That also applies to Jones. Both Carlineo and Hoffman claim to be pro-life, but they have stated a willingness to let Roe v. Wade stand. That's the same attitude that so many FReepers found objectionable with Scott Brown.
All four seem to be fiscally conservative. In my opinion, that's the most pressing issue right now, as the RATS continue to run wild with money yet to be printed.
If the primary was today, I would vote for Hoffman.
Arcuri won by 4 percentage points — about 10,000 votes. Obama won this district by about 6,500 votes but four years earlier, Bush won it by about 17,000 votes. No idea who Logan Bell is.
I’d love to see lord dog nutt lose his seat. I know he is in a fairly safe district, but his “I don’t care what you want, I am voting for the health care bill anyway” moment may be his downfall.
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