Alright, I know you’re a sharp guy, so what am I missing?
As far as I can see, the moment that Deem and Pass was abandoned, it made it necessary for two votes. One for the reconciliation bill and one for the senate bill. Yes on one doesn’t mean yes on the other, so it would seem that all whip counts would need to be thrown out and looked at again in that new light.
I can see the reconciliation bill passing for sure, but ther senate bill is another story entirely.
Where am I going wrong?
All this procedure is beyond me, but I THINK that we win if a reconciliation bill passes, because then it has to go back to the Senate where a filibuster would kill it. Someone better versed in House/Senate procedure needs to weigh in.
Actually 3 votes are planned -
1. To exempt Tricare (military)
2. For the Senate Bill
3. House “fixes” to the Senate bill
If they pass the Senate bill there is no real reason to pass the reconciliation bill. I'll bet it has little or no chance of passing the Senate and why would they even bother, the congress will be blamed or congratulated and neither side is going to be fooled by the sham second bill.
The reconciliation bill is a smokescreen. If the senate bill passes, it’ll be signed into law.
“As far as I can see, the moment that Deem and Pass was abandoned”
I know they ‘say’ they’ve abandoned it, but has it *really* been abandoned? I guess we’ll find out much more tomorrow.
Best result - it goes down.
Second best result - they delay again.