It is not a very convincing analysis, sort of post hoc, ergo propter hoc. Given that it snowed, it was probably cold, especially colder than average in DC where winter is usually mild.
There was a piece by a guy who had been the Virginia state meteorologist for decades who made the point that winter storms in coastal Virginia and DC always have lots of water, but it usually falls as rain. The only thing preventing lots of snow was the fact that it was, you know, too warm.
“It is not a very convincing analysis, sort of post hoc, ergo propter hoc. Given that it snowed, it was probably cold, especially colder than average in DC where winter is usually mild.”
Sometimes simple analyses are the most incisive. How could the blizzards be explained away on the warm-air-holds-more-moisture theory if in fact the air was colder than normal?
True, as a rule of thumb, sea water temp in southern Ches Bay >40F=rain; <40F=snow...guides only, not many definites in weatherguessering.
That's kind of confusing. You're not saying that it snows more in cold weather than in warm weather, are you?
The only thing preventing lots of snow was the fact that it was, you know, too warm.
I like this explanation, which should be followed by an ergo.
If too warm a temperature, is the explanation for too little snow, global warming/climate change, cannot have it both ways. Or can they?