"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
A poll worker will “discover” 30,000 votes (all for Coakley) in the back of her Prius...
First off the last time we elected a Republican to the Senate was 1972. We lost the seat in 1980. I haven’t read the rest of this article but it is not off to a good start.
>>the Bay State hasn’t elected a Republican to the Senate since the Eisenhower administration.
Eisenhower was President in 1966? 1972? Again we forget that Edward Brooke was Senator from early 1967 till early 1979. He was liberal on some issues but he was a Republican.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Brooke
>>Edward William Brooke, III (born October 26, 1919), is an American politician and was the first African American to be elected by popular vote to the United States Senate when he was elected as a Republican from Massachusetts in 1966, defeating his Democratic opponent, Endicott Peabody, 58%–42%. He was also the first African American elected to the Senate since the 19th century, and would remain the only person of African heritage sent to the Senate in the 20th century until Democrat Carol Moseley Braun in 1993. He remains, as of 2009, the last Republican senator from Massachusetts, and the last elected African American member of the U.S. Senate to come from the Republican Party.
Per the polling, let’s say Scott gets 65% of the indie vote. Assuming equal participation of D-R-I, that’s 34% right there. Another 10 percentage points for picking up almost all of the GOP vote.
I figure Kennedy will get just north of 1% of the vote, so Scott will need a tad less than 50% to win. If RATS are 37% of the voting electorate, he won’t need all that many of their votes to win. He’s already polling at > 20% of the RAT vote.
In terms of their prospects for this November, I believe that Dems’ worst nightmare is not a Brown victory but rather a Brown loss by a few thousand votes. For at that point more than a few people who were merely pissed become (like me) altogether unhinged.
Don’t get me wrong, we need to elect Brown in order to put an end to the disastrous policies this Administration is putting forward. But anything shy of a clear and clean win by Coakley spells certain doom for the Dems in November.