That's because not only the strongly approve number but also the strongly disapprove number have both been moving pretty consistently within four-percent "trading ranges" for the past month: The SA number has stayed in the 25-29 range, while the SD number has been consistently in the 38-42 range.
So based on the available hard data, which would seem to be the best evidence at hand for the time being, it seems most likely to me that today's very nice outcome is simply a result of a random event, whereby the SA number is at the bottom of its consistent trading range, while the SD number is at the top of its consistent range.
Now let's just hope tomorrow's data will prove me completely wrong!
I hate to rain on the parade. But as much as we all wish otherwise, the Rasmussen Index doesn’t yet show what I’d call a “break out.”
That’s because not only the strongly approve number but also the strongly disapprove number have both been moving pretty consistently within four-percent “trading ranges” for the past month: The SA number has stayed in the 25-29 range, while the SD number has been consistently in the 38-42 range.
+++++++++++++++++++++
The strongly approve/disapprove gap has reversed to the tune of 44 points in 10 months...I’d say that’s a “break out” to the down side!