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FX COLUMN-China may have misplayed yuan hand with Obama
Forbes ^ | 11/25/09 | Neal Kimberley

Posted on 11/26/2009 3:09:32 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster

FX COLUMN-China may have misplayed yuan hand with Obama

11.25.09, 11:26 AM EST

By Neal Kimberley

LONDON, Nov 25 (Reuters) - China may come to regret not offering U.S. President Barack Obama more concrete encouragement on the future direction of the yuan during his recent visit.

Make no mistake, Obama cannot afford to let this go and China may eventually have to move further on the yuan than would have been necessary this time.

The way it is likely to play out is that a disappointed U.S. administration falls back on the Group of 20 agreement on global rebalancing, which will ultimately require a weaker dollar and a stronger yuan.

Mindful of this, the currency markets will see no reason to halt the dollar's general decline.

The euro, the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars and even sterling will attract further inflows.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; dollar; peg; yuan

1 posted on 11/26/2009 3:09:33 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster
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To: TigerLikesRooster; PAR35; AndyJackson; Thane_Banquo; nicksaunt; MadLibDisease; happygrl; ...

Ping!


2 posted on 11/26/2009 3:10:03 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster (LUV DIC -- L,U,V-shaped recession, Depression, Inflation, Collapse)
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To: TigerLikesRooster
yen and dollar pretty wild today, i:ll say 14 year dollar low to the yen
3 posted on 11/26/2009 3:10:43 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo ( Palin's new autobiography: "Going Rogue". Obama's new autobiography: "Going Khmer Rouge".)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
I heard. Nice to be in Japan for now, isn't it?
4 posted on 11/26/2009 3:11:58 AM PST by TigerLikesRooster (LUV DIC -- L,U,V-shaped recession, Depression, Inflation, Collapse)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

For any young Freeper Americans struggling to pay off their student loans in the US in US Dollars, I would encourage them to come to Japan, work like hell (maybe at an English school and then some on the side on Saturday’s and Sunday), get paid in Yen of course, and then pay off one’s student loan in probably 1/3rd the time it would take to do it solely in the US on the US Dollar-based economy and currently IN the US economy. Yes.


5 posted on 11/26/2009 3:18:49 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo ( Palin's new autobiography: "Going Rogue". Obama's new autobiography: "Going Khmer Rouge".)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

do you know of any such places?


6 posted on 11/26/2009 4:13:39 AM PST by stefanbatory (Weed out the RINOs! Sign the pledge. conservativepledge.org)
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To: AmericanInTokyo

My nephew, a George Washington University grad w/ $120,000 in student debt, is teaching English in Japan for a 3-year hitch and will be debt free by the end. Smart kid. And the Japanese girls treat him like Adonis. Will he come back? We’ll see!


7 posted on 11/26/2009 5:13:27 AM PST by pingman (Price is what you pay, value is what you get.)
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To: pingman

See. He’s got TWO good things going for him right there! ;-)


8 posted on 11/26/2009 7:13:06 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo ( Palin's new autobiography: "Going Rogue". Obama's new autobiography: "Going Khmer Rouge".)
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To: AmericanInTokyo
A lot of this is reversal of the "carry trade".

During the 'lost decade', Japan did what we are doing now - lent out money at zero interest. Many people borrowed this money and invested it in other, bubble areas outside of Japan, like the US stock market. Now the yen is going up, those who need to pay back those loans are scrambling to do so fast, using dollars available from the Fed at zero interest.

9 posted on 11/26/2009 7:20:30 AM PST by expatpat
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To: expatpat

yep.


10 posted on 11/26/2009 7:23:31 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo ( Palin's new autobiography: "Going Rogue". Obama's new autobiography: "Going Khmer Rouge".)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

Hah. Whether it’s a question of who’s the better poker player, the better long-term strategist, or the better horse-trader, you gotta go with China here.


11 posted on 11/26/2009 7:34:52 AM PST by jiggyboy (Ten per cent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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