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Posted on 11/25/2009 11:52:16 AM PST by Texas Federalist
Former CNN anchor Lou Dobbs has indicated that he might consider an independent bid for the White House in 2012, and early polling shows he could attract up to 14% of the vote. However, some of that is almost certainly a generic protest vote as an unnamed “some other candidate” picks up between six percent (6%) and nine percent (9%) of the vote in similar 2012 match-ups.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that if the choice is between President Obama, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Dobbs, Obama leads 42% to 34% with Dobbs pulling 14% of the vote.
With Mike Huckabee as the Republican nominee, Obama leads 42% to 36%, with Dobbs at 12%.
If Sarah Palin is the GOP nominee, it’s Obama 44%, Palin 37% and Dobbs 12%.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
Obviously, it’s way too early to evaluate the political environment for the 2012 election, and it’s important to remember that four years ago Obama would not have been considered a serious national challenger for 2008. For Dobbs, the data shows how improbable such an independent bid could be.
With Dobbs out of the equation, Obama and Romney are tied at 44%, Obama leads Huckabee 45% to 41%, and the president leads Palin 46% to 43%.
The similarity of results regardless of the GOP hopeful suggests that voters currently see the question simply as a referendum on the president. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows that Obama’s ratings have recently fallen to the lowest levels of his term.
While the president has a long way to go before facing voters again himself, Democrats in Congress don’t have the same luxury. They trail the GOP on the Generic Congressional Ballot,and Democratic senators are struggling in Nevada, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Colorado and Illinois.
Dobbs is currently viewed favorably by 33% of likely voters nationwide and unfavorably by 42%. However, most of the opinions about him are soft. Just seven percent (7%) have a Very Favorable view and 16% hold a Very Unfavorable opinion.
For Romney, the numbers are 49% favorable and 38% unfavorable (14% Very Favorable, 10% Very Unfavorable).
Huckabee is better like with 58% offering a positive assessment and 30% negative, including 21% Very Favorable and 13% Very Unfavorable.
Opinions are strongest about Palin. Overall, her numbers come in at 46% favorable and 49% unfavorable. Those numbers include 27% with a Very Favorable opinion and 31% with a Very Unfavorable view.
It’s hard to say where the electorate will be in 3 years, but clearly Palin has begun to ride a wave of momentum with mere facebook posts and a book tour, that no one can yet calculate. I think she is playing her cards beautifully. There is no reason to get out there any more than she already is. You don’t want people getting sick of seeing her on tv. She gets enough play as it is on FNC. In fact, she should probably take a breather for a month or 2 after this book tour, come back for the primary season, and then come back strong for the 2010 election cycle.
Then Fall 2011 she needs to announce that in 1 year she will be President-elect.
And God help us if Dobbs give us 4 more years of Zero. Dobbs need to get real and take a stab at house or senate. He has no chance in a 3 way race. If he really wants to run for President then he should pick a party and run in the primary instead of sabotaging Palin’s chances.
Dobbs who is in his 60s is delusional
He is Obama best friend as is any Third Party loon.
Its either insanity or just plain stupidity.
I think this misquotes Dobbs. I had heard that he was considering a run for public office, but not the presidency. I would love to see him unseat a RAT or RINO senator, though.
Yawn.......I would not take Dobbs seriously at all. No political experience whatsoever. A true unknown. I doubt if he has the type of charisma that is needed on the national level. Seeing him as a NJ Senate is a possibility. Him serving in a Palin Administration (i.e.: Immigration enforcment) would be a great fit for him.
If the Republicans do not have a strong conservative candidate in 2012, who would win, I will be completely convinced that liberals have taken over both parties to prevent a conservative option. At that point, a national conservative party is called for, not as a third party, but as a party to replace the Republicans.
Challenger percentages aren’t that importent right now. What counts more is that the incumbent is well below 50%. If Dobbs got in under those circumstances, his clear motive is to help Obama. Dobbs is no conservative.
No one is voting for Dobbs. Whoever did survey was being cutesy by a whole lot.
The problem is, unless there is some realignment on issues, the liberal Republicans would just flood the conservative party. As Reagan recognized, our only option is to take over the Republican Party. Then we can rename it whatever we want. :)
Yeah I saw that too, within 7 of the zero.
Another example of 3rd party failures being pushed by Beck. I love Glenn but 3rd party is lose-lose-lose situation. Better to reform GOP with true conservatives winning their primaries.
She will have announced that she’s running for President long before Fall 2011, I assume? There will have been many debates on TV by that time.
I don’t believe Romney would do that well, unless it is an indication that every conservative and libertarian has given up, and the only voters are Mensheviks and Bolsheviks.
Cheerleader sections provided courtesy of Black Liberation Theology and political Mormons.
I never thought I would envy the Russians.
Lou Dobbs = John Anderson 1980
He will be a non-factor.
Another example of 3rd party failures being pushed by Beck. I love Glenn but 3rd party is lose-lose-lose situation. Better to reform GOP with true conservatives winning their primaries.
I was able to bring myself to vote GOP for both of the Bushes, Dole, and McCain. Romney is a lib too far.
Like Doc Holliday, there are limits to my hypocrisy.
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