If white voters are 75% of the electorate and Christie took 60% (he actually took more than that), Christie would already have 45% of the vote.
If Daggett holds at 6, Christie needs just over 47% to win. Surely he would have the additional votes from some minorities ... Hispanics are about 8% of the voters in NJ and some do vote Republican. Not to mention thatI’ve underestimated his share with white voters by using 60% instead of mid to upper 60s as quoted on Fox.
It would take a lot of fraud IMO for Corzine to win. Of course we’re assuming the exit polls are accurate.
CNN said Corzine get independants.....
THAT’S IT THEN CHRISTIE WINS BY 8-10 points...
Exactly! I underestimated the white vote as well to cover some voter fraud. Rove is saying that Christie is running at least two points above where he needs to be to win.
It is New Jersey. There is the New Jersey SocialDemocrat machine which is usually competent enough to get the job done and this year there is also Seius and ACORN. If Christie still wins that says something truly awesome about the attitude in New Jersey. It says that folks who vote Republican, real individual voters who cast single legal votes, must outnumber the SocialDemocrats by a huge margin.