I think you may be right. I think Obama knows that the military is the one segment that could really oppose him credibly and effectively, and he's taking steps to prevent this.
I am so appalled by the idea of his simply handing things over to the Taliban that I don't know where to begin. And I bet he is also going to try to make this look like a military failure.
When he surrenders (and I have no doubt that he will,) at the following teleprompter reading to Congress the conservative members should stand up and walk out when he begins talking. Abandon him and his ego.