[cc2k]

This is a race that may still be closer than this poll indicates. The poll internals (available as PDF, click this link) show slightly more Republican participation than has been historically the norm. But the Primary held earlier this year in this district had significantly more Republican participation than in the past. This poll could be under counting Republicans.

If Republicans are motivated and turn out like they did for the primary, the race will be closer than this poll indicates. It could still be an upset victory for Harmer, though that looks less likely now.

What bothers me about this race is that the NRCC and RNC have ignored it. Garamendi has had Obama and Bill Clinton out in the district making campaign appearances. He is also running television ads financed by the DCCC in this district. They know they are weak here. They also know that losing this “safe Democrat district” will scare blue dogs everywhere and could make them less supportive of the radical left agenda of this administration and congressional leadership.

The RNC and NRCC have ignored this winnable race and done almost nothing out here.

If the NRCC and RNC hadn’t been spending all of their money pushing a (losing) radical leftist in upstate New York, they could have picked up this seat in California and sent a strong message to the Democrats.

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I support David Harmer for California’s 10th Congressional District (donations). He is a conservative candidate who has been a fellow at the Heritage Foundation and the Cato institute. He is committed to controlling spending, promoting economic growth, and free market solutions to todays problems.

I am also contacting the NRCC to ask why they are supporting Scozzafava in the race in upstate New York, and why they are ignoring David Harmer in this close race in California’s 10th district. Here are the numbers if anyone else wants to call:

Info from the NRCC "contact us" web page:

Contact the NRCC

Address:

320 First Street, SE
Washington, DC 20003

General Email:
website@nrcc.org

Phone:
Phone: 202-479-7000

Also, perhaps those of us who donated to the RNC or RCCC should ask for our money back so we can support the conservative candidates of our choice.

Other threads related to this California 10th District race:
• Special election Tuesday pits Garamendi v. Harmer in 10th Congressional District race
• Harmer Turns to the M&M Boys: Mark and Mitt [Mark Levin Endorses Harmer]
• Harmer versus Garamendi: No fireworks
• Why The Harmer Race Matters to California & The Nation
• CA 10: Less Attention On That 'Other' Special House Race
• Why a Harmer Win Would Be Huge
• David Harmer Could Use Some Last Minute Help in California (conservative-close race in California)
• CD10: NRCC support for Harmer remains modest
• Bay Area Conservatives Rally [CA10]
• Race to replace Tauscher may be closer than first thought
• [CA] District 10 candidates talk health care, peripheral canal in cordial debate
• David Harmer Might Be Running the Right Race at the Right Time
• Voters swing against Democrats as Obama charm fades
• Forum with David Harmer and John Garamendi
• Calif. race in New York's shadow
• An Upset in California?
• Numerous seats at stake [a special election the GOP has ignored]
• Harmer no stranger to policy and politics
• 10th District Congress Seat Special Election Nears

More threads ...

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From the desk of cc2k:

Candidates I support: Doug Hoffman for Congress, NY 23rd (PayPal), David Harmer for Congress, CA 10th (website for info). Please, spread the word about these important special elections on November 3, 209: New York’s 23rd congressional district and California’s 10th congressional district.

[Boiling Pots]

Why would the NRCC want to send a message to Democrats, considering they are as liberal as the Dems are?

[Frantzie]

Sounds like the CBS poll is trying to depress Repub votes. This may be close and the GOP screwed up (as usual) not supporting Harmer.

[Jet Jaguar]

BTTT

[Kenny]

The poll's results also found that half of the expected votes in the race have already been cast.

Early voting is the biggest blow to Democracy ever. Hard enough to keep it legal on one day much less over a period of time. I still can't believe it's constitutional.

[St. Louis Conservative]

This is a pretty solid D district. That said, Garamendi is extremely loathsome, and Harmer is a pretty darn good candidate. Certainly Garamendi is the favorite, and any D would be, but this will be all about turnout, as all special elections are.