Posted on 10/28/2009 6:35:01 AM PDT by ScottinVA
New Jersey Gov. Jon Corzine leads Republican challenger Christopher Christie for the first time in their five-month slugfest, on top 43 - 38 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Independent candidate Christopher Daggett has 13 percent, with 5 percent undecided.
This compares to a 41 - 40 percent Christie lead, with 14 percent for Daggett, in an October 14 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.
Among Daggett supporters, 38 percent say they might change their mind: 43 percent say Christie is their second choice, while 27 percent say Gov. Corzine is number two.
Only 12 percent of Christie voters and 19 percent of Corzine backers say they might change their mind.
Corzine leads 79 - 8 percent among Democratic likely voters, with 10 percent for Daggett. Christie leads 79 - 7 percent among Republicans, with 9 percent for Daggett, and 45 - 30 percent among independent voters, with 20 percent for Daggett.
New Jersey voters disapprove 54 - 39 percent of the job Corzine is doing, still negative, but his best overall approval rating in months. Independent voters disapprove 68 - 29 percent.
"You could see it coming. Gov. Jon Corzine's numbers crept steadily up and Christopher Christie's steadily shrank and now, for the first time, we have Corzine ahead," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
(Excerpt) Read more at quinnipiac.edu ...
Once again is right. Dems always win NJ in the homestretch.
Black panthers had billy clubs. What are tea partiers going to use to look menacing, knitting needles?
Bullship polls aren’t going to help Corzine.
Quinnipiac is a far left polling organization.
“Given the past performance of NJ voters, I’d say the Quin is the more accurate one this time around.”
I disagree, the facts say Ras is more accurate. I also saw the new PPP (D) poll out yesterday that has Chris up by 4, do you think that poll is accurate?
I agree. NY-23 might end up being the exception to the rule, but the "rule" is that 3rd-Party candidates are usually bad for the traditional opposition party candidate. Of course, in NY-23, it's an incumbent party and not an incumbent politician, so there's at least a little difference
It would be interesting to see an actual study - but, with the exception of Ross Perot, I can't think of many other 3rd Party candidates that actually hurt the incumbent. They usually siphon off votes from the insurgent candidate by appealing to those people that are already disillusioned with, and unlikely to vote for the incumbent
Jersey=sheeple
Please forgive lack of exactitude and links, but I think it was a FEDERAL court that just overturned the NJ supreme court which had upheld the requirement there could be no exit interviews w/in 100 feet of a polling location. Think the suit was filed by a media group. So look for ACORN (or whatever tree nuts it’s called now) and armed thugs to be out in force in various cities.
BTW, a NJ voter can vote in person at any county clerk’s office or satellite office thru October 30. “Newly registered voters may be required to show identification.” The ad even says “Vote early!” All they forgot to add was “and often!”
Yeah, well, if Christie is one of those Republicans that would be just as bad as a Democrat, then the Republicans get blamed for the disaster, and specificaly conservatives, because the media cannot distinguish between the two.
I’d rather the liberal Republican lose while a conservative gets the issues out. I think in the long term it’s better that way. Our struggle is not a short term one, it’s a long-term battle for future of America.
Trust Razzmatazz’s polling. He was spot on in November for presidential. Christie wins by a hair. Oh, won’t the bellyaching be fun when Dems lose both VA and NJ??
“desperately trying to suppress the vote”
And trying to pad it—see my post above about being able to vote before Nov 3 at the county clerk’s offices (AND satellite offices!)
Believe me, I HOPE Christie pulls this out. I'm only going on past performance on the part of NJ voters. I'd like nothing more than for the dems to be completely shut out on 3 Nov.
Good!! Jersey gets what they deserve!!! HIGHER TAXES!!!!! YEAH!!!
No, not surprised at all.
He isn’t just as bad as the Democrat.
He is with us on economic (tax and spend, small business, jobs etc) issues, big time.
I know nothing about him and the social issues, but he does have views on handgun control that edge towards the Dems.
Too bad about that, but in this instance the good outweighs the bad in voting for Christie.
Not the voters, but the pollsters. The polls must support the widespread voter fraud that will manufacture the votes Corzine needs to win.
From what I’ve read about Christie, he’s not really letting anyone know about his beliefs in any areas, except that he’s not Corzine. But, then I’ve seen very few Republicans who actually shrink or even freeze the size of government.
Palin should fly out and support the guy. I mean why not?
Maybe the state could use some “help” from Tony Soprano and his crew. *SNICKER*
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