What is that district like....Gay? BLACK? UNION? HILLBILLY? If any of these, it’s going to the Democrats.
From what I can tell, none of the above.
Ann Archy wrote:
What is that district like....Gay? BLACK? UNION? HILLBILLY? If any of these, it’s going to the Democrats.
In a fair, straight up race, Hoffman would be their guy.
In 2008, the district went to John McHugh, a relatively conservative Republican with a 71.55% lifetime rating from the American Conservative Union and an 82% cumulative rating from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. McHugh won this district with over 65% of the vote. McCain lost this district. Possibly the message last year was RINO=No, Conservative=Yes.
Money and advertising are really distorting the polls this year, and could distort the results.
The candidate selection is also very strange. The Dems have run a relatively conservative “Blue Dog” type of candidate. The Republicans have the flaming leftist. And Doug Hoffman, the Conservative is closest to McHugh on the issues.
One of the reasons Markos Moulitsas endorsed her was because he didn’t want another blue dog for Pelosi and company to have to compromise with. The fact that Scozzafava has signed on to much of the Pelosi agenda is even better for him.
There are apparently 17 Scozzafava enablers in the House. The list includes Boehner, Cantor, Sessions, Hensarling, Brown-Waite and McCotter. We will have to check the FEC filings to find out about the others. Also, Susan Collins, Senator from Maine will be campaigning for Scozzafava this weekend.
UCFRoadWarrior wrote:
Not only Newt, but Boehner, Cantor, support Dede Schizzo....which should tell you that the GOP is nothing more than DNC-lite....and REAL Conservatives never willy-nilly vote for someone because they have an “R” next to their name
| From the desk of cc2k: |
I support Doug Hoffman for Congress (PayPal). Please, spread the word about this important election on November 3, 2009 in New York’s 23rd congressional district. |
http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=district-2010-NY-23
That sums it up
Historically Republican (since 1870’s). In 2006 the rats won a state senate seat in the area that had been GOP just as long.
GOP Registration edge.
Narrow Obama carry in 2008.
Narrow Bush carry in 2004 and 2000.