Posted on 09/09/2009 7:31:45 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 31% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-nine percent (39%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -8 (see trends). Republicans continue to lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot.
After the rallies this weekend, he will go below 30 again. People react to the idea of DC ignoring the voice of the people.
And that’s what we have here front and center.
Simple explanation: vacation.
That’s because he was out on vacation for the last week and a half, and the only thing we’ve heard from him since was the harmless speech to school kids yesterday.
Just wait til the $12.1 trillion debt ceiling increase and nuclear healthcare ram-through hits.
It’s the “ delightful” children’s speech. The children are giving him high marks??
A big ‘study hard in school this year’ boost?
The school speech?
This may be what's happening: as people PERCEIVE that health care is 'failing,' they go back to being able to 'like' the guy and see him as ok. This is why it is essential at all times for ALL Republicans to make every speech about "Obama-Pelosi-[fill in the local name here]." Every health care problem needs to be Obama's health-care proposal and the deficits are "OBAMA'S DEFICITS."
Statistical noise.
I started steeling myself last week for a rise for Obama. I think the Van Jones thing was his nadir. I sense a rise for the next few weeks, and whatever health bill they pass will help him too.
Look at the graph... Its called statistical noise. No real change, it is trending downward (or upward if you prefer!).
Record unemployment and the dollar at a all time low (WSJ). How is that Hope and Change treating you?
This is interesting, but also irrelevant. The trend is down and will remain down. Just wait until the magic 10% unemployment is reached, which will be soon. Double-digit unemployment will dominate and will persist, since this administration has no pro-growth policy prescriptions. None, zero, nada.
It’s anyone’s guess where unemployment will be by the end of Obeyme’s term, but I have a guess. If you extrapolate job creation during Obeyme’s term to the founding of the country, nobody in America would have ever worked.
a sigh of relief when in his school speech he did not come out and announce a Second Cultural Revolution (he’s saving that for State of the Union)
He’ll go up after his speech to Congress and they plan to ram the health care through then. He’ll lie and he’ll go up.
Probably so. When one substracts the value of one statistic from another statistic, the standard error of the "resulting new statistic" is necessarily going to be greater than the the standard error of either original statistic.
Therefore, it's to be expected that Rasmussen's "Index" will jump around more than will either of its two first-order components.
(The actual math is too complex for my elderly mind. But if I were 30 years younger, I'd probably try to work out a complete and rigorous proof!)
“Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President”
That is - shut up, go on vacation, don’t spend any more of our money, and fire Van Jones.
If the other 11 months turn out like August, I could learn to like the guy.
Zero always hits -7 and -8 during midweek. He drops to double-digits over the weekend. That’s been his trend for quite a while now. He does slightly better during the week because, I think, the masses who really despise him are working and aren’t available to answer the phone when Rasmussen calls.
Statistical noise. The day-by-day changes are not so important as the trend over weeks and months.
I wonder what it would be like if they rounded it off to the nearest 1/10th instead of the nearest 1.
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