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VA is turning blue mostly because of demographics. The data can't be more clear. Turnout has a lot to do with who wins, but in a Presidential election year, the Dems are slowly gaining the advantage.

My sense, and I may be wrong on this is that Obama benefitted from a lot of black voters who would ordinarily not vote.

No doubt, but there also more black voters than there were in 2000 or 2004. And there are more immigrants voting. In Fairfax County, 27.7% of the population is foreign born. I was a poll watcher on both election day and during early voting. You would be amazed how many immigrants were voting, mainly Asian and Hispanic.

Across the country, A LOT more people voted than normal (131 million in 2008 vs. 122 million in 2004), it is unlikely that this will happen again.

First the population of the US will increase by 135 million in the next 40 years, 75% due to immigration. By 2023, half of the children 18 and under will be minorities and by 2042 half of the country will be minorities. Bureau of the Census: An Older and More Diverse Nation by Midcentury

Demography is destiny. The changing demographics of the US fueled by immigration, legal and illegal, has political consequences. 87% of the 1.2 million LEGAL immigrants who enter annually are minorities. And almost all of the illegal aliens are minorities. And they are having 400,000 anchor babies a year.

Second, the Obama political organization is the most sophisticated and scary we have seen in our history. Using technology they can mobilize 13 million volunteers at a moment't notice. Go to Organizing for America to see what we are up against. Type in your zip code and see what events are being held or planned in your area.

Yes Kilgore and Allen ran lousy campaigns. But their defeat was not just do to that. And Obama has raised campaigning to a new level. Being a community organizer may not prepare you to be President, but it sure as hell can help you win elections. Frightening.

I want to see how the next several elections go, because I think the last few were quirks.

If everything you were saying about Virginia was true, Deeds would be winning in the polls. McDonnell is up by DOUBLE DIGITS in almost every poll against a man he beat by ONE-HUNDREDTH OF A PERCENT four years ago.

Go ANYWHERE in Virginia outside of NoVA, the cities (just the cities, not the metropolitan areas) of Norfolk, Richmond, Portsmouth, Roanoke or Charlottesville and it will soon become obvious that Acorn and community organizing WILL NOT work in Virginia.

There was a movement about 25 years ago to make NoVA its own state, I really wish it had happened, it would have saved the rest of us a lot of money, embarrassment and frustration.