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RAND study: Now China wins Taiwan Straits air war (Beats US in air war according to latest analysis)
FIGHT GLOBAL ^ | 8/4/2009 | Stephen Trimble

Posted on 08/05/2009 1:12:44 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: SeekAndFind

China’s strategy is dependent on several key events.

First and foremost, they need a major fifth column apparatus in Taiwan. This would be set up over the course of many months or even years. It would have a primary branch, that would actively seek to overthrow the civil authorities and military; and a secondary branch to encourage inaction and acceptance.

Second, they need a massive flotilla of ships capable of navigating the rough waters of the Taiwan Strait. This is because, as with the D-Day invasion of Europe, acceptable personnel losses in the crossing would be as high as 90% of personnel, as long as a beachhead was accomplished in the given window of opportunity.

This is because the mission is to quickly occupy the major Taiwanese cities. Once they have done so, China launches a major worldwide diplomatic effort to declare any effort to stop them acts of “aggressive war against China”. Since almost all the nations of the world (and the US) accept that Taiwan is part of China, this is an easy case to make.

By getting enough personnel into the cities of Taiwan, they will be impossible to root out without destroying those cities.

This brings in the third element, which is to by some means to prevent the US Navy from interceding to prevent the invasion. The Chinese military have published a “white paper”, on the subject of an unconventional attack on the US as a distraction. Ideally an attack that would neutralize the only two US Pacific deep water ports, at Bremerton and San Diego. But anything that would distract the US for a few days would do.

The final element would be to use their thousand-odd missiles pointing at Taiwan to neutralize as much of the Taiwanese military as possible. Importantly, with the idea that some of the Taiwanese military will have already been neutralized by the fifth columnists, so that the missiles can be concentrated against the most effective parts remaining.


21 posted on 08/05/2009 2:04:58 PM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: PIF
Umm, you voted him to succeed President Bush. Ring a bell?

No it does not. The one I voted to succeed Bush is still in the Senate.
22 posted on 08/05/2009 2:06:21 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Got it. The scenario assumes a 4.5 to 1 kill ratio for the F-15. While in reality, across all Air Forces, and all enemies, so far the score is 104 to ZERO. No F-15 air superiority model has ever been shot down,,PERIOD.

I guess the Chicom Peeps Liberation Air Force, with aces like Wong Wei hitting our P-3, these guys will finally be the nemesis of the F-15.

Amazing.


23 posted on 08/05/2009 2:26:19 PM PDT by DesertRhino (Dogs earn the title of "man's best friend", Muslims hate dogs,,add that up.)
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To: SeekAndFind

“The Divine One” is he who walks upon water, heals the sick and makes the legs of news anchors “tingle.”


24 posted on 08/06/2009 9:56:28 AM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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To: PIF

This current group in Washington will damage all Americans. The horror being they will harm us in good faith thinking they are doing well. God help us!


25 posted on 08/06/2009 11:09:13 AM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

Good faith? Are you kidding? They intend to do exactly what they are doing. They want to deconstruct, demilitarize, and disarm the US. That IS their intention ... and that is what they are doing well.


26 posted on 08/06/2009 12:50:26 PM PDT by PIF
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To: PIF

No I am not joking. In my opinion they are in good faith. That is the horror. They believe what they are doing is good. It isn’t!


27 posted on 08/06/2009 3:28:49 PM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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